Ayutthaya FC vs Sukhothai FC: prediction and stats
Thai League 1Regular Season - 21Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Ayutthaya Stadium, Ayutthaya
The Footlab model makes Ayutthaya FC the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Sukhothai FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ayutthaya FC vs Sukhothai FC?
A very open match: only 19 Elo points separate Ayutthaya FC (1,602) and Sukhothai FC (1,583).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ayutthaya FC have 4 wins, 1 draws and 10 defeats; Sukhothai FC have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Buriram United(away) | 0-5 | FA Cup |
| May 10, 2026 | Port FC(home) | 1-4 | Thai League 1 |
| May 2, 2026 | Bangkok United(away) | 1-4 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Prachuap(home) | 1-3 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Buriram United(away) | 0-2 | Thai League 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Muangthong United(home) | 3-0 | Thai League 1 |
| May 2, 2026 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC(away) | 0-1 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Ratchaburi(home) | 1-2 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Chiangrai United(away) | 1-1 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 3, 2026 | Bangkok United(away) | 0-2 | Thai League 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Ayutthaya FC win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Sukhothai FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2026 | Sukhothai FC 1-1 Ayutthaya FC | Thai League 1 |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Ayutthaya FC 1-1 Sukhothai FC | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 30, 2022 | Ayutthaya FC 1-2 Sukhothai FC | Thai League 2 |
| Sep 5, 2021 | Sukhothai FC 5-0 Ayutthaya FC | Thai League 2 |
Last archived meeting: Sukhothai FC vs Ayutthaya FC on Feb 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ayutthaya FC score 0.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Sukhothai FC score 0.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ayutthaya FC | 0.7 | 1.9 | 3 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Sukhothai FC | 0.7 | 1.6 | 2 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ayutthaya FC sit 10th in Thai League 1 (32 points from 30 matches) and Sukhothai FC sit 13th (28 points from 30 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Ayutthaya FC | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 34 | 50 | 32 |
| 13 | Sukhothai FC | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 23 | 42 | 28 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ayutthaya FC vs Sukhothai FC?
- The Footlab model makes Ayutthaya FC the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Sukhothai FC.
- Where and when is Ayutthaya FC vs Sukhothai FC played?
- Ayutthaya FC vs Sukhothai FC is played on March 14, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Ayutthaya Stadium, in the Thai League 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.