Match

Ayvalikgucu vs Altay: prediction and stats

3. Lig - Group 23. Lig Group 2 - 33Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Hüsnü Uğural Stadyumu, Ayvalık

AyvalikgucuAltay

The Footlab model makes Ayvalikgucu the favourite at 66%, against 22% for a draw and 12% for Altay. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Ayvalikgucu vs Altay?

Ayvalikgucu starts as the favourite with a 224-point Elo edge (1,720 vs 1,496).

Ayvalikgucu win66 %
Draw22 %
Altay win12 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ayvalikgucu have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Altay have 3, 4 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Ayvalikgucu
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 17, 2026Yeni Orduspor(home)1-23. Lig - Play-offs
May 8, 2026Eskişehirspor(away)0-03. Lig - Play-offs
May 4, 2026Eskişehirspor(home)2-03. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 28, 2026Karsiyaka(away)2-03. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 24, 2026Karsiyaka(home)0-03. Lig - Play-offs
Altay
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 18, 2026Afjet Afyonspor(home)2-03. Lig - Group 4
Apr 5, 2026İzmir Çoruhlu FK(home)1-13. Lig - Group 4
Mar 29, 2026Anadolu Üniversitesi(away)0-33. Lig - Group 4
Mar 25, 2026Alanya 1221 FK(home)0-03. Lig - Group 4
Mar 15, 2026Balıkesirspor(away)0-33. Lig - Group 4

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Ayvalikgucu win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Altay win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 17, 2026Ayvalikgucu 4-0 Altay3. Lig - Group 4
Sep 13, 2025Altay 0-0 Ayvalikgucu3. Lig - Group 4

Last archived meeting: Ayvalikgucu vs Altay on Jan 17, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Ayvalikgucu score 1.4 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Altay score 0.8 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Ayvalikgucu1.40.865/155/15
Altay0.81.746/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Ayvalikgucu vs Altay?
The Footlab model makes Ayvalikgucu the favourite at 66%, against 22% for a draw and 12% for Altay.
Where and when is Ayvalikgucu vs Altay played?
Ayvalikgucu vs Altay is played on April 18, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Hüsnü Uğural Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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