Karsiyaka vs Balıkesirspor: prediction and stats
3. Lig - Group 23. Lig Group 2 - 33Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Alsancak Mustafa Denizli Stadı, İzmir
The Footlab model makes Karsiyaka the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Balıkesirspor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Karsiyaka vs Balıkesirspor?
A very open match: only 51 Elo points separate Karsiyaka (1,725) and Balıkesirspor (1,675).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Karsiyaka have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Balıkesirspor have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2026 | Ayvalikgucu(home) | 0-2 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Ayvalikgucu(away) | 0-0 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Tire 2021 FK(away) | 1-1 | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Söke 1970(home) | 5-0 | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Bornova 1877(away) | 5-0 | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2026 | Eskişehirspor(away) | 0-3 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Eskişehirspor(home) | 2-1 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Bornova 1877(away) | 4-1 | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Eskişehirspor(home) | 1-1 | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Denizli İYG(away) | 1-0 | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Karsiyaka win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Balıkesirspor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2026 | Balıkesirspor 2-1 Karsiyaka | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Karsiyaka 2-1 Balıkesirspor | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
| Apr 24, 2016 | Karsiyaka 1-0 Balıkesirspor | 1. Lig |
| Dec 6, 2015 | Balıkesirspor 0-0 Karsiyaka | 1. Lig |
| Apr 13, 2014 | Karsiyaka 3-1 Balıkesirspor | 1. Lig |
| Dec 8, 2013 | Balıkesirspor 4-1 Karsiyaka | 1. Lig |
Last archived meeting: Balıkesirspor vs Karsiyaka on Jan 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Karsiyaka score 2.7 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Balıkesirspor score 1.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karsiyaka | 2.7 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Balıkesirspor | 1.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Karsiyaka vs Balıkesirspor?
- The Footlab model makes Karsiyaka the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Balıkesirspor.
- Where and when is Karsiyaka vs Balıkesirspor played?
- Karsiyaka vs Balıkesirspor is played on April 18, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Alsancak Mustafa Denizli Stadı, in the 3. Lig - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 18, 2027KepezsporvsTire 2021 FK
- Apr 18, 2027Bucaspor 1928vsUşak Spor
- Apr 18, 2027AyvalikgucuvsAltay
- Apr 18, 2027Alanya 1221 FKvsBigaspor
- Apr 18, 2027Söke 1970vsEtimesgut SK
- Apr 18, 2027Anadolu ÜniversitesivsBursa Yıldırımspor
- Apr 18, 2027Nilüfer BelediyevsEskişehirspor
- Apr 18, 2027Denizli İYGvsAkşehirspor