AZ Alkmaar vs Excelsior: result 1-1 and analysis
EredivisieRegular Season - 4Kick-off on August 29, 2010 at 02:30 PM (UTC)AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar
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What was the result of AZ Alkmaar vs Excelsior?
AZ Alkmaar and Excelsior drew 1-1 on August 29, 2010.
Goalscorers
- 36′Guyon FernandezExcelsior
- 76′Kolbeinn SigþórssonAZ Alkmaar
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 3 matches in all competitions, AZ Alkmaar have 0 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats; Excelsior have 2, 0 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2010 | PSV Eindhoven(away) | 1-3 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 14, 2010 | Groningen(home) | 1-1 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 8, 2010 | NAC Breda(away) | 1-1 | Eredivisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2010 | NEC Nijmegen(home) | 4-2 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 15, 2010 | Feyenoord(home) | 3-2 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 7, 2010 | De Graafschap(away) | 0-3 | Eredivisie |
How many goals should we expect?
AZ Alkmaar score 1.0 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 3; Excelsior score 2.3 and concede 2.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AZ Alkmaar | 1.0 | 1.7 | 0 | 3/3 | 1/3 |
| Excelsior | 2.3 | 2.3 | 0 | 2/3 | 3/3 |
Over the last 3 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AZ Alkmaar sit 1st in Eredivisie (9 points from 3 matches) and Excelsior sit 10th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AZ Alkmaar | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 9 |
| 10 | Excelsior | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy