AZ Alkmaar vs Excelsior: result 2-1 and analysis
EredivisieRegular Season - 16Kick-off on December 15, 2018 at 06:45 PM (UTC)AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar
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What was the result of AZ Alkmaar vs Excelsior?
AZ Alkmaar won 2-1 on December 15, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 30′Denis MahmudovExcelsior
- 39′G. TilAZ Alkmaar
- 90′B. JohnsenAZ Alkmaar
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AZ Alkmaar have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Excelsior have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2018 | Fortuna Sittard(away) | 3-0 | Eredivisie |
| Dec 1, 2018 | Willem II(home) | 0-2 | Eredivisie |
| Nov 25, 2018 | VVV Venlo(away) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Nov 11, 2018 | ADO Den Haag(away) | 1-0 | Eredivisie |
| Nov 3, 2018 | De Graafschap(home) | 1-0 | Eredivisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2018 | PSV Eindhoven(away) | 0-6 | Eredivisie |
| Nov 30, 2018 | Utrecht(home) | 3-3 | Eredivisie |
| Nov 25, 2018 | Emmen(away) | 2-1 | Eredivisie |
| Nov 11, 2018 | Ajax(home) | 1-7 | Eredivisie |
| Nov 2, 2018 | Groningen(home) | 2-4 | Eredivisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 AZ Alkmaar win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Excelsior win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2018 | Excelsior 1-2 AZ Alkmaar | Eredivisie |
| Sep 24, 2017 | AZ Alkmaar 0-2 Excelsior | Eredivisie |
| Mar 5, 2017 | AZ Alkmaar 1-1 Excelsior | Eredivisie |
| Dec 3, 2016 | Excelsior 3-3 AZ Alkmaar | Eredivisie |
| Mar 6, 2016 | AZ Alkmaar 2-0 Excelsior | Eredivisie |
| Aug 15, 2015 | Excelsior 2-2 AZ Alkmaar | Eredivisie |
Last archived meeting: Excelsior vs AZ Alkmaar on Mar 3, 2018
How many goals should we expect?
AZ Alkmaar score 1.7 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Excelsior score 1.5 and concede 2.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AZ Alkmaar | 1.7 | 1.4 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Excelsior | 1.5 | 2.9 | 3 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AZ Alkmaar sit 1st in Eredivisie (9 points from 3 matches) and Excelsior sit 10th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AZ Alkmaar | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 9 |
| 10 | Excelsior | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy