AZ Alkmaar vs Legia Warszawa: result 1-0 and analysis
UEFA Europa Conference LeagueGroup Stage - 2Kick-off on October 5, 2023 at 07:00 PM (UTC)AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar
Full time
What was the result of AZ Alkmaar vs Legia Warszawa?
AZ Alkmaar won 1-0 on October 5, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 52′V. PavlidisAZ Alkmaar
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AZ Alkmaar have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats; Legia Warszawa have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 2023 | Fortuna Sittard(home) | 4-0 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 28, 2023 | Heracles(home) | 1-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 24, 2023 | PEC Zwolle(away) | 3-0 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 21, 2023 | Zrinjski(away) | 3-4 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Sep 17, 2023 | Sparta Rotterdam(home) | 2-0 | Eredivisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 2023 | Jagiellonia(away) | 0-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Sep 27, 2023 | Pogon Szczecin(away) | 4-3 | Ekstraklasa |
| Sep 24, 2023 | Gornik Zabrze(home) | 2-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Sep 21, 2023 | Aston Villa(home) | 3-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Sep 16, 2023 | Piast Gliwice(away) | 1-1 | Ekstraklasa |
How many goals should we expect?
AZ Alkmaar score 2.3 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Legia Warszawa score 2.2 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AZ Alkmaar | 2.3 | 0.8 | 8 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Legia Warszawa | 2.2 | 1.6 | 2 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AZ Alkmaar sit 14th in UEFA Europa Conference League (10 points from 6 matches) and Legia Warszawa sit 28th (6 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | AZ Alkmaar | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 10 |
| 28 | Legia Warszawa | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 6 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy