Azuaga vs Puebla Calzada: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 14Group 14 - 11Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio CD Azuaga, Azuaga
The Footlab AI model makes Azuaga the favourite at 70%, against 20% for a draw and 10% for Puebla Calzada. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 5,094 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Azuaga vs Puebla Calzada?
Azuaga starts as the favourite with a 202-point Elo edge (1,911 vs 1,708).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Azuaga vs Puebla Calzada
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Azuaga
Not enough data to predict the Azuaga lineup.
Puebla Calzada
Not enough data to predict the Puebla Calzada lineup.
Computed on November 8, 2026 at 10:32 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Azuaga have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Puebla Calzada have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Gévora(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Santa Amalia(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | CD Zafra(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Jaraíz(home) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Villanovense(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Cabeza Buey(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Montijo(away) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Villafranca(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Llerenense(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Moralo(home) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Azuaga wins, 1 draw, 0 Puebla Calzada wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | Azuaga 2-0 Puebla Calzada | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Puebla Calzada 0-2 Azuaga | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Puebla Calzada 1-1 Azuaga | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Dec 15, 2024 | Azuaga 3-1 Puebla Calzada | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
Last archived meeting: Azuaga vs Puebla Calzada on Mar 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Azuaga score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Puebla Calzada score 1.6 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Azuaga | 1.7 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Puebla Calzada | 1.6 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Azuaga sit 1st in Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 (23 points from 10 matches) and Puebla Calzada sit 6th (17 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Azuaga | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 8 | 23 |
| 6 | Puebla Calzada | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 17 |
A question about Azuaga vs Puebla Calzada?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Azuaga vs Puebla Calzada?
- The Footlab AI model makes Azuaga the favourite at 70%, against 20% for a draw and 10% for Puebla Calzada.
- Where and when is Azuaga vs Puebla Calzada played?
- Azuaga vs Puebla Calzada is played on November 15, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio CD Azuaga, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 14.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.