Guadiana vs Gévora: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 14Group 14 - 11Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Guadiana the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Gévora. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Guadiana vs Gévora?
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 0 matches in all competitions, Guadiana have 0 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats; Gévora have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Cacereño(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 10, 2026 | Badajoz(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| May 3, 2026 | Atlético Pueblonuevo(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Montijo(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Moralo(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Gévora | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 32 | 53 | 33 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Guadiana vs Gévora?
- The Footlab model makes Guadiana the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Gévora.
- Where and when is Guadiana vs Gévora played?
- Guadiana vs Gévora is played on November 15, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 14.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.