Puebla Calzada vs Guadiana: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 14Group 14 · Matchday 12Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Campo Fútbol Puebla de la Calzada, Puebla de la Calzada
The Footlab AI model makes Puebla Calzada the favourite at 79%, against 15% for a draw and 6% for Guadiana. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 6,428 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Puebla Calzada vs Guadiana?
Puebla Calzada starts as the favourite with a 108-point Elo edge (1,828 vs 1,720).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Puebla Calzada vs Guadiana
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Puebla Calzada
Not enough data to predict the Puebla Calzada lineup.
Guadiana
Not enough data to predict the Guadiana lineup.
Computed on November 15, 2026 at 07:43 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Puebla Calzada have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Guadiana have 0, 1 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2026 | Azuaga(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Nov 8, 2026 | Cabeza Buey(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Montijo(away) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Villafranca(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Llerenense(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2026 | Gévora(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Nov 8, 2026 | Santa Amalia(away) | 0-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | CD Zafra(home) | 0-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Jaraíz(away) | 0-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Villanovense(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
How many goals should we expect?
Puebla Calzada score 1.6 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Guadiana score 0.4 and concede 2.8. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Puebla Calzada | 1.6 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Guadiana | 0.4 | 2.8 | 0 | 4/11 | 7/11 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Puebla Calzada sit 6th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 (17 points from 11 matches) and Guadiana sit 18th (1 point from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Puebla Calzada | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 17 |
| 18 | Guadiana | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 29 | 1 |
A question about Puebla Calzada vs Guadiana?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Puebla Calzada vs Guadiana?
- The Footlab AI model makes Puebla Calzada the favourite at 79%, against 15% for a draw and 6% for Guadiana.
- Where and when is Puebla Calzada vs Guadiana played?
- Puebla Calzada vs Guadiana is played on November 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Fútbol Puebla de la Calzada, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 14.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.