Azzurri vs Chênois: prediction and stats
1. Liga Classic - Group 1Group 1 - 4Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Chênois the favourite at 50%, against 21% for a draw and 28% for Azzurri. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Azzurri vs Chênois?
Chênois starts as the favourite with a 147-point Elo edge (1,767 vs 1,620).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 4 matches in all competitions, Azzurri have 1 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats; Chênois have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Servette II(away) | 1-2 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Vevey Sports(home) | 4-2 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Portalban / Gletterens(away) | 0-2 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| Aug 17, 2025 | Concordia Lausanne(home) | 0-8 | Schweizer Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Meyrin(home) | 3-1 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Echallens(away) | 1-2 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Naters(home) | 3-4 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| May 30, 2026 | Meyrin(away) | 2-2 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| May 23, 2026 | Echallens(home) | 4-0 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Azzurri score 1.3 and concede 3.5 goals per match over their last 4; Chênois score 2.1 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Azzurri | 1.3 | 3.5 | 0 | 2/4 | 3/4 |
| Chênois | 2.1 | 1.6 | 4 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 4 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Azzurri sit 11th in 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 (3 points from 2 matches) and Chênois sit 9th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Chênois | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 3 |
| 11 | Azzurri | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Azzurri vs Chênois?
- The Footlab model makes Chênois the favourite at 50%, against 21% for a draw and 28% for Azzurri.
- Where and when is Azzurri vs Chênois played?
- Azzurri vs Chênois is played on August 30, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC), in the 1. Liga Classic - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.