Monthey vs Naters: prediction and stats
1. Liga Classic - Group 1Group 1 - 4Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stade Philippe Pottier, Monthey
The Footlab model makes Monthey the favourite at 51%, against 19% for a draw and 30% for Naters. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Monthey vs Naters?
A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate Monthey (1,696) and Naters (1,652).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Monthey have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Naters have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | La Chaux-de-Fonds(home) | 2-2 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Lausanne Sport II(away) | 1-1 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Coffrane(away) | 2-2 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| May 29, 2026 | Portalban / Gletterens(away) | 1-1 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| May 23, 2026 | Prishtina Bern(home) | 3-5 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Coffrane(away) | 1-1 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Stade Payerne(away) | 3-3 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chênois(away) | 4-3 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| May 30, 2026 | Echallens(away) | 6-5 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| May 23, 2026 | Coffrane(home) | 3-0 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Monthey win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 Naters win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Naters 2-2 Monthey | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Monthey 0-1 Naters | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Naters 2-0 Monthey | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Monthey 1-1 Naters | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| Feb 25, 2024 | Naters 1-1 Monthey | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
| Aug 12, 2023 | Monthey 0-1 Naters | 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Monthey score 1.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Naters score 2.3 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 83% probability of over 2.5 goals and 80% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monthey | 1.7 | 1.6 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Naters | 2.3 | 2.7 | 1 | 13/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Monthey sit 10th in 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 (3 points from 3 matches) and Naters sit 5th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Naters | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 4 |
| 10 | Monthey | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Monthey vs Naters?
- The Footlab model makes Monthey the favourite at 51%, against 19% for a draw and 30% for Naters.
- Where and when is Monthey vs Naters played?
- Monthey vs Naters is played on August 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Philippe Pottier, in the 1. Liga Classic - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 83% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.