Badajoz vs Ciudad de Lucena: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 28Kick-off on March 28, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Nuevo Vivero, Badajoz
The Footlab AI model makes Badajoz the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Ciudad de Lucena. The most likely score is 1-1. If Badajoz wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,545 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Badajoz vs Ciudad de Lucena?
A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Badajoz (1,992) and Ciudad de Lucena (1,974).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Badajoz vs Ciudad de Lucena
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Badajoz
Not enough data to predict the Badajoz lineup.
Ciudad de Lucena
Not enough data to predict the Ciudad de Lucena lineup.
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 06:08 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Badajoz have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Ciudad de Lucena have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Linares Deportivo(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Puente Genil(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Sanluqueño(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Marbella(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Sevilla Atletico(away) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Sanluqueño(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Rayo Majadahonda(home) | 0-1 | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Estepona(away) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Xerez(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Don Benito(home) | 4-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
How many goals should we expect?
Badajoz score 1.1 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Ciudad de Lucena score 1.8 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Badajoz | 1.1 | 0.6 | 7 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Ciudad de Lucena | 1.8 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Badajoz sit 3rd in Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 (16 points from 9 matches) and Ciudad de Lucena sit 2nd (18 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Ciudad de Lucena | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 9 | 18 |
| 3 | Badajoz | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 16 |
A question about Badajoz vs Ciudad de Lucena?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Badajoz vs Ciudad de Lucena?
- The Footlab AI model makes Badajoz the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Ciudad de Lucena.
- Where and when is Badajoz vs Ciudad de Lucena played?
- Badajoz vs Ciudad de Lucena is played on March 28, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Nuevo Vivero, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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