Mijas Las Lagunas vs Marbella: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 28Kick-off on March 28, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Ciudad Deportiva Las Lagunas, Las Lagunas de Mijas
The Footlab AI model makes Mijas Las Lagunas the favourite at 57%, against 26% for a draw and 17% for Marbella. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,496 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mijas Las Lagunas vs Marbella?
Mijas Las Lagunas starts as the favourite with a 108-point Elo edge (1,899 vs 1,791).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Mijas Las Lagunas vs Marbella
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Mijas Las Lagunas
Not enough data to predict the Mijas Las Lagunas lineup.
Marbella
4-3-3- 19E. Ohemeng
- 24D. Selma
- 11Pablo Moreno
- 22J. Rodriguez
- 36D. Revuelta
- 35I. Gonzalez
- 23Alberto Escassi
- 4Adri Castellano
- 15Gabri Clemente
- 31D. Pineda
- 1Manu García
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 10:22 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mijas Las Lagunas have 7 wins, 7 draws and 1 defeat; Marbella have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Marbella(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Real Betis II(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Tenerife II(away) | 3-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Sevilla Atletico(home) | 3-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Sanluqueño(away) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Mijas Las Lagunas(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Xerez(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Estepona(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Badajoz(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Real Betis II(home) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Mijas Las Lagunas wins, 1 draw, 0 Marbella wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Marbella 0-0 Mijas Las Lagunas | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Marbella vs Mijas Las Lagunas on Nov 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Mijas Las Lagunas score 2.0 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Marbella score 0.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mijas Las Lagunas | 2.0 | 1.2 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Marbella | 0.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mijas Las Lagunas sit 5th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 (14 points from 9 matches) and Marbella sit 15th (7 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Mijas Las Lagunas | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 17 | 13 | 14 |
| 15 | Marbella | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 7 |
A question about Mijas Las Lagunas vs Marbella?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mijas Las Lagunas vs Marbella?
- The Footlab AI model makes Mijas Las Lagunas the favourite at 57%, against 26% for a draw and 17% for Marbella.
- Where and when is Mijas Las Lagunas vs Marbella played?
- Mijas Las Lagunas vs Marbella is played on March 28, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Ciudad Deportiva Las Lagunas, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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