Where and when is Mijas Las Lagunas vs Marbella played?

Mijas Las Lagunas vs Marbella is played on March 28, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Ciudad Deportiva Las Lagunas, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Mijas Las Lagunas vs Marbella: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 28Kick-off on March 28, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Ciudad Deportiva Las Lagunas, Las Lagunas de Mijas

Mijas Las Lagunas

Marbella

The Footlab model makes Mijas Las Lagunas the favourite at 52%, against 28% for a draw and 20% for Marbella. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Mijas Las Lagunas vs Marbella?

A very open match: only 70 Elo points separate Mijas Las Lagunas (1,872) and Marbella (1,803).

Mijas Las Lagunas win52 %

Draw28 %

Marbella win20 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mijas Las Lagunas have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Marbella have 5, 1 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Mijas Las Lagunas
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 15, 2026	Xerez Deportivo(away)	1-0	Friendlies Clubs
May 10, 2026	Granada II(away)	4-4	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
May 3, 2026	Huétor Vega(home)	3-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 26, 2026	Huétor Tájar(away)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 19, 2026	UD Melilla II(home)	4-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9

Marbella
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 22, 2026	Teruel(home)	3-1	Primera División RFEF - Group 2
May 16, 2026	Alcorcon(away)	2-6	Primera División RFEF - Group 2
May 10, 2026	Juventud Torremolinos(home)	0-1	Primera División RFEF - Group 2
May 3, 2026	Eldense(away)	1-3	Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 26, 2026	Sabadell(home)	0-1	Primera División RFEF - Group 2

How many goals should we expect?

Mijas Las Lagunas score 1.3 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Marbella score 1.5 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Mijas Las Lagunas	1.3	0.8	7	5/15	5/15
Marbella	1.5	1.8	3	7/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Mijas Las Lagunas vs Marbella?: The Footlab model makes Mijas Las Lagunas the favourite at 52%, against 28% for a draw and 20% for Marbella.
Where and when is Mijas Las Lagunas vs Marbella played?: Mijas Las Lagunas vs Marbella is played on March 28, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Ciudad Deportiva Las Lagunas, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.