Match

Atlético Central vs Estepona: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 28Kick-off on March 28, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Centro Deportivo Vega de Triana, Sevilla

Atlético CentralEstepona

The Footlab AI model makes Atlético Central the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 32% for Estepona. The most likely score is 1-1. If Atlético Central wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,798 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Atlético Central vs Estepona?

On Elo ratings, Atlético Central has 1,832 points and Estepona 1,939.

38%30%32%
Atlético Central winDrawEstepona win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Atlético Central vs Estepona

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Atlético Central

Not enough data to predict the Atlético Central lineup.

Estepona

4-3-3
  1. 20Daniel Sancho
  2. 10Ale Conteras
  3. 16D. Ballarin
  1. 15Javi Duarte
  2. 6J. Aguilera
  3. 17S. Baradji
  1. 26A. Gonzalez
  2. 3A. Candelas
  3. 5Titi Fernández
  4. 22José Caro
  1. 1J. Ruiz

Computed on October 19, 2026 at 03:21 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atlético Central have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Estepona have 8, 5 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Atlético Central
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Don Benito(away)2-4Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Oct 11, 2026Estepona(away)2-3Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Oct 4, 2026Linares Deportivo(home)0-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Sep 27, 2026Sevilla Atletico(home)2-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Sep 20, 2026Marbella(away)1-4Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Estepona
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Marbella(away)0-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Oct 11, 2026Atlético Central(home)3-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Oct 3, 2026Don Benito(home)3-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Sep 27, 2026Tenerife II(away)1-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Sep 19, 2026Puente Genil(away)2-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 4

What does the head-to-head say?

In the last meeting: 0 Atlético Central wins, 0 draws, 1 Estepona win.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Estepona 3-2 Atlético CentralSegunda División RFEF - Group 4

Last archived meeting: Estepona vs Atlético Central on Oct 11, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Atlético Central score 1.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Estepona score 1.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Atlético Central1.51.458/157/15
Estepona1.71.2411/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Atlético Central sit 15th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 (6 points from 7 matches) and Estepona sit 7th (11 points from 7 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Estepona732210911
15Atlético Central720510156

A question about Atlético Central vs Estepona?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Atlético Central vs Estepona?
The Footlab AI model makes Atlético Central the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 32% for Estepona.
Where and when is Atlético Central vs Estepona played?
Atlético Central vs Estepona is played on March 28, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Centro Deportivo Vega de Triana, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Atlético Central and Estepona

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