Baden vs Thalwil: prediction and stats
1. Liga Classic - Group 3Group 3 - 12Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Esp, Fislisbach
The Footlab AI model makes Baden the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Thalwil. The most likely score is 1-1. If Baden wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.9% of the 3,345 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Baden vs Thalwil?
On Elo ratings, Baden has 1,556 points and Thalwil 1,502.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Baden vs Thalwil
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Baden
4-3-3- 26G. Furrer
- 27D. Giampà
- 44M. Hanke
- 10R. Laski
- 23M. Spielmann
- 6S. Cirelli
- 13J. Fontana
- 2T. Pachonik
- 4P. Muff
- 43F. Gloor
- 18A. Mossi
Thalwil
Not enough data to predict the Thalwil lineup.
Computed on October 25, 2026 at 06:44 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Baden have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Thalwil have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Widnau(home) | 6-0 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | FC Wohlen(home) | 2-1 | Erste Liga Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Gossau(away) | 2-3 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Taverne(home) | 2-3 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Locarno(away) | 1-3 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Gossau(home) | 2-1 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Muttenz(away) | 1-4 | Erste Liga Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Taverne(away) | 0-2 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Locarno(home) | 2-2 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Dietikon(away) | 1-1 | 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Baden wins, 0 draws, 0 Thalwil wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 30, 2022 | Thalwil 0-4 Baden | 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 |
| Oct 23, 2021 | Baden 4-1 Thalwil | 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Baden score 2.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Thalwil score 1.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baden | 2.3 | 1.5 | 3 | 12/15 | 14/15 |
| Thalwil | 1.5 | 1.9 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Baden sit 5th in 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 (16 points from 9 matches) and Thalwil sit 4th (16 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Thalwil | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 9 | 16 |
| 5 | Baden | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 16 |
A question about Baden vs Thalwil?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Baden vs Thalwil?
- The Footlab AI model makes Baden the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Thalwil.
- Where and when is Baden vs Thalwil played?
- Baden vs Thalwil is played on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Esp, in the 1. Liga Classic - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.