Bærum vs Frigg: prediction and stats
3. Division - Girone 1Regular Season - 26Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)AJ Arena, Sandvika
The Footlab AI model makes Bærum the favourite at 56%, against 17% for a draw and 27% for Frigg. The most likely score is 3-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bærum vs Frigg?
On Elo ratings, Bærum has 1,665 points and Frigg 1,713.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Bærum vs Frigg
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Bærum
4-3-3- 7L. Bransdal
- 20K. Sørensen
- 10R. Løvseth
- 19K. Haugen
- 17M. Myrmo
- 14C. Arvesen
- 3A. Johansen
- 2P. Vogt
- 15J. Øya
- 4A. Dacic
- 1D. Skretteberg
Frigg
Not enough data to predict the Frigg lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 06:46 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bærum have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Frigg have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Asker(away) | 2-4 | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | IF Ready(home) | 1-2 | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
| Oct 1, 2026 | Lillestrom(home) | 1-5 | NM Cupen |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Vålerenga II(away) | 0-2 | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Union Carl Berner(home) | 1-2 | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Vålerenga II(away) | 1-4 | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Gamle Oslo(home) | 1-1 | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Union Carl Berner(away) | 2-6 | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Konnerud(home) | 2-0 | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Heming(away) | 1-5 | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Bærum wins, 2 draws, 2 Frigg wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 27, 2026 | Frigg 1-1 Bærum | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Bærum 2-3 Frigg | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
| Jun 28, 2025 | Frigg 3-4 Bærum | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Frigg 3-3 Bærum | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
| May 5, 2024 | Bærum 1-3 Frigg | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
| Oct 1, 2022 | Bærum 3-0 Frigg | 2. Division - Group 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Bærum score 2.7 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Frigg score 2.2 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 89% probability of over 2.5 goals and 85% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bærum | 2.7 | 2.1 | 2 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
| Frigg | 2.2 | 2.3 | 1 | 13/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bærum sit 6th in 3. Division - Girone 1 (35 points from 23 matches) and Frigg sit 8th (33 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Bærum | 23 | 11 | 2 | 10 | 64 | 45 | 35 |
| 8 | Frigg | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 51 | 49 | 33 |
A question about Bærum vs Frigg?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bærum vs Frigg?
- The Footlab AI model makes Bærum the favourite at 56%, against 17% for a draw and 27% for Frigg.
- Where and when is Bærum vs Frigg played?
- Bærum vs Frigg is played on November 1, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at AJ Arena, in the 3. Division - Girone 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 89% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.