Bagé vs Santa Cruz RS: result 1-4 and analysis
Gaúcho - 21st Phase - 2Kick-off on April 23, 2023 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Pedra Moura, Bagé, Rio Grande do Sul
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What was the result of Bagé vs Santa Cruz RS?
Santa Cruz RS won 1-4 on April 23, 2023.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bagé have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; Santa Cruz RS have 5, 7 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2023 | Lajeadense(away) | 0-3 | Gaúcho - 2 |
| Oct 17, 2021 | Lajeadense(home) | 1-3 | Gaúcho - 2 |
| Oct 11, 2021 | São Paulo RS(away) | 0-2 | Gaúcho - 2 |
| Oct 2, 2021 | Avenida(home) | 1-1 | Gaúcho - 2 |
| Sep 26, 2021 | Guarani RS(home) | 0-0 | Gaúcho - 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2023 | Pelotas(home) | 1-1 | Gaúcho - 2 |
| Jun 26, 2022 | Esportivo(home) | 0-0 | Gaúcho - 2 |
| Jun 19, 2022 | Esportivo(away) | 0-1 | Gaúcho - 2 |
| Jun 12, 2022 | Guarani RS(home) | 4-0 | Gaúcho - 2 |
| Jun 8, 2022 | São Gabriel(away) | 1-2 | Gaúcho - 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Bagé score 0.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Santa Cruz RS score 1.5 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bagé | 0.6 | 1.3 | 2 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
| Santa Cruz RS | 1.5 | 1.0 | 5 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bagé sit 7th in Gaúcho - 2 (21 points from 14 matches) and Santa Cruz RS sit 9th (18 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Bagé | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 21 |
| 9 | Santa Cruz RS | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 11 | 18 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy