Baghdad vs Erbil: result 1-1 and analysis
Iraqi LeagueRegular Season - 16Kick-off on January 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Bagdad Stadium, Bagdad
Full time
What was the result of Baghdad vs Erbil?
Baghdad and Erbil drew 1-1 on January 31, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 59′639726Erbil
- 80′K. El KeraaBaghdad
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Baghdad have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Erbil have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2026 | Gharraf(away) | 2-3 | Iraqi League |
| Jan 22, 2026 | Al-Karma(away) | 1-2 | Iraqi League |
| Jan 18, 2026 | Al Karkh(home) | 1-1 | Iraqi League |
| Jan 13, 2026 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya(home) | 0-2 | Iraqi League |
| Jan 9, 2026 | Zakho(away) | 2-2 | Iraqi League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2026 | Al Karkh(away) | 1-1 | Iraqi League |
| Jan 23, 2026 | Al Talaba(home) | 0-2 | Iraqi League |
| Jan 17, 2026 | Al Zawra'a(away) | 0-1 | Iraqi League |
| Jan 13, 2026 | Duhok(home) | 2-1 | Iraqi League |
| Jan 8, 2026 | Mosul(away) | 2-0 | Iraqi League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Baghdad win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Erbil win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 26, 2024 | Baghdad 1-3 Erbil | Iraqi League |
| Feb 29, 2024 | Erbil 4-1 Baghdad | Iraqi League |
| Feb 15, 2022 | Baghdad 1-1 Erbil | Iraqi League |
| Sep 26, 2021 | Erbil 1-2 Baghdad | Iraqi League |
| Feb 24, 2021 | Erbil 2-2 Baghdad | Iraqi League |
| Oct 26, 2020 | Baghdad 0-2 Erbil | Iraqi League |
How many goals should we expect?
Baghdad score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Erbil score 1.3 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baghdad | 1.1 | 1.5 | 2 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Erbil | 1.3 | 0.7 | 6 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Erbil | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy