Baghdad vs Erbil: result 1-3 and analysis
Iraqi LeagueRegular Season - 32Kick-off on May 26, 2024 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Al-Madina International Stadium, Baghdad
Full time
What was the result of Baghdad vs Erbil?
Erbil won 1-3 on May 26, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 44′Sherko KareemErbil
- 68′Mohammad QasemErbil
- 89′Mohammad QasemErbil
- 90′Ashar AliBaghdad
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Baghdad have 1 wins, 7 draws and 7 defeats; Erbil have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 21, 2024 | Al Minaa Basra(away) | 2-0 | Iraqi League |
| May 17, 2024 | Naft Al-Janoob(home) | 1-1 | Iraqi League |
| May 13, 2024 | Al Shorta(away) | 1-2 | Iraqi League |
| May 9, 2024 | Zakho(home) | 0-0 | Iraqi League |
| May 5, 2024 | Al Talaba(away) | 2-3 | Iraqi League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 22, 2024 | Zakho(away) | 1-2 | Iraqi League |
| May 17, 2024 | Al Hudod(home) | 0-0 | Iraqi League |
| May 12, 2024 | Naft(away) | 1-0 | Iraqi League |
| May 8, 2024 | Al Karkh(away) | 0-0 | Iraqi League |
| May 5, 2024 | Al Minaa Basra(home) | 1-2 | Iraqi League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Baghdad win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Erbil win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 29, 2024 | Erbil 4-1 Baghdad | Iraqi League |
| Feb 15, 2022 | Baghdad 1-1 Erbil | Iraqi League |
| Sep 26, 2021 | Erbil 1-2 Baghdad | Iraqi League |
| Feb 24, 2021 | Erbil 2-2 Baghdad | Iraqi League |
| Oct 26, 2020 | Baghdad 0-2 Erbil | Iraqi League |
How many goals should we expect?
Baghdad score 1.0 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Erbil score 1.1 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baghdad | 1.0 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
| Erbil | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Erbil | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy