Baglan Dragons vs Abertillery Bluebirds: result 1-1 and analysis
FAW ChampionshipSouth - 8Kick-off on September 30, 2023 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Evans Bevans Playing Fields Q, Port Talbot
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What was the result of Baglan Dragons vs Abertillery Bluebirds?
Baglan Dragons and Abertillery Bluebirds drew 1-1 on September 30, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 10′Kyle WilliamsAbertillery Bluebirds
- 84′?Baglan Dragons
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 10 matches in all competitions, Baglan Dragons have 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Abertillery Bluebirds have 3, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2023 | Taffs Well(away) | 4-1 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 16, 2023 | FC Cwmaman(home) | 5-1 | Welsh Cup |
| Sep 8, 2023 | llanelli AFC(away) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 28, 2023 | Cwmbran Celtic(home) | 3-3 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 18, 2023 | Abergavenny Town(away) | 3-2 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 23, 2023 | Llantwit Major(home) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 16, 2023 | Caerphilly Athletic(home) | 1-1 | Welsh Cup |
| Sep 9, 2023 | Pontardawe Town(home) | 2-2 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 28, 2023 | Goytre United(away) | 2-4 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 19, 2023 | Briton Ferry(home) | 0-3 | FAW Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Baglan Dragons score 2.4 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 10; Abertillery Bluebirds score 1.3 and concede 2.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baglan Dragons | 2.4 | 1.5 | 1 | 9/10 | 8/10 |
| Abertillery Bluebirds | 1.3 | 2.3 | 1 | 6/12 | 8/12 |
Over the last 10 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Baglan Dragons | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy