Llantwit Major vs Caerau (Ely): result 1-4 and analysis
FAW ChampionshipSouth - 8Kick-off on September 30, 2023 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Windmill Ground, Llantwit Major
Full time
What was the result of Llantwit Major vs Caerau (Ely)?
Caerau (Ely) won 1-4 on September 30, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 7′?Llantwit Major
- 27′?Caerau (Ely)
- 76′?Caerau (Ely)
- 88′?Caerau (Ely)
- 90′?Caerau (Ely)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Llantwit Major have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Caerau (Ely) have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 23, 2023 | Abertillery Bluebirds(away) | 0-1 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 9, 2023 | Trefelin(away) | 3-3 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 28, 2023 | llanelli AFC(home) | 2-5 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 19, 2023 | Cwmbran Celtic(away) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 12, 2023 | Baglan Dragons(home) | 1-4 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2023 | Carmarthen Town(home) | 2-4 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 15, 2023 | Cardiff Corinthians(home) | 3-2 | Welsh Cup |
| Sep 8, 2023 | Goytre United(home) | 3-0 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 28, 2023 | Briton Ferry(away) | 3-5 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 18, 2023 | Cambrian & Clydach(home) | 1-3 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Llantwit Major wins, 1 draw, 0 Caerau (Ely) wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2019 | Caerau (Ely) 2-2 Llantwit Major | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Caerau (Ely) vs Llantwit Major on Oct 12, 2019
How many goals should we expect?
Llantwit Major score 1.5 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Caerau (Ely) score 2.1 and concede 2.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Llantwit Major | 1.5 | 2.0 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Caerau (Ely) | 2.1 | 2.6 | 3 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Llantwit Major sit 15th in FAW Championship (8 points from 9 matches) and Caerau (Ely) sit 4th (19 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Caerau (Ely) | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 18 | 19 |
| 15 | Llantwit Major | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 8 |
A question about Llantwit Major vs Caerau (Ely)?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy