Baglan Dragons vs Trefelin: result 4-1 and analysis
FAW ChampionshipSouth - 14Kick-off on November 25, 2023 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Evans Bevans Playing Fields Q, Port Talbot
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What was the result of Baglan Dragons vs Trefelin?
Baglan Dragons won 4-1 on November 25, 2023.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Baglan Dragons have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Trefelin have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2023 | Cambrian & Clydach(away) | 0-2 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 21, 2023 | Afan Lido(home) | 0-1 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 14, 2023 | Haverfordwest County AFC(away) | 0-0 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 6, 2023 | Caerau (Ely)(away) | 0-3 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Abertillery Bluebirds(home) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2023 | Caerau (Ely)(away) | 0-2 | FAW Championship |
| Nov 3, 2023 | Abertillery Bluebirds(home) | 6-1 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 21, 2023 | Taffs Well(home) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 13, 2023 | Ammanford AFC(home) | 2-2 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 6, 2023 | Abergavenny Town(away) | 2-0 | FAW Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Baglan Dragons score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Trefelin score 1.8 and concede 2.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baglan Dragons | 1.7 | 1.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Trefelin | 1.8 | 2.3 | 2 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Baglan Dragons | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 17 |
A question about Baglan Dragons vs Trefelin?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy