Baglan Dragons vs Ynyshir Albions: result 2-1 and analysis
FAW ChampionshipSouth - 13Kick-off on November 7, 2025 at 07:30 PM (UTC)Evans Bevans Playing Fields Q, Port Talbot
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What was the result of Baglan Dragons vs Ynyshir Albions?
Baglan Dragons won 2-1 on November 7, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 33′573767Baglan Dragons
- 39′613072Baglan Dragons
- 53′635615Ynyshir Albions
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Baglan Dragons have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Ynyshir Albions have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2025 | Cwmbran Celtic(away) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 24, 2025 | Treowen Stars(home) | 3-4 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 10, 2025 | Afan Lido(away) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Llantwit Major(home) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Cambrian & Clydach(home) | 0-1 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2025 | Carmarthen Town(home) | 0-2 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Llantwit Major(away) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Cardiff Draconians(home) | 0-0 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Trefelin(home) | 0-5 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Cwmbran Town(away) | 4-4 | Welsh Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Baglan Dragons score 1.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Ynyshir Albions score 1.1 and concede 2.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baglan Dragons | 1.0 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Ynyshir Albions | 1.1 | 2.3 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Baglan Dragons sit 5th in FAW Championship (7 points from 4 matches) and Ynyshir Albions sit 9th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Baglan Dragons | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 |
| 9 | Ynyshir Albions | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy