Ynyshir Albions vs Llantwit Major: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipSouth - 15Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Ynyshir Oval, Porth
The Footlab AI model makes Ynyshir Albions the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for Llantwit Major. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ynyshir Albions wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,933 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ynyshir Albions vs Llantwit Major?
A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Ynyshir Albions (1,494) and Llantwit Major (1,499).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ynyshir Albions vs Llantwit Major
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ynyshir Albions
Not enough data to predict the Ynyshir Albions lineup.
Llantwit Major
Not enough data to predict the Llantwit Major lineup.
Computed on November 8, 2026 at 05:14 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ynyshir Albions have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Llantwit Major have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | Baglan Dragons(away) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Swansea University(home) | 4-2 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Cardiff MET(away) | 0-4 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | llanelli AFC(home) | 6-2 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Treowen Stars(away) | 2-1 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Trethomas Bluebirds(away) | 2-2 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Newport City(home) | 2-3 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Caerau (Ely)(away) | 2-0 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Trefelin(away) | 1-4 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Pontardawe Town(home) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Ynyshir Albions win, 0 draws, 3 Llantwit Major wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2026 | Ynyshir Albions 2-3 Llantwit Major | FAW Championship |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Llantwit Major 2-1 Ynyshir Albions | FAW Championship |
| Apr 15, 2023 | Ynyshir Albions 3-1 Llantwit Major | FAW Championship |
| Oct 1, 2022 | Llantwit Major 4-0 Ynyshir Albions | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Ynyshir Albions vs Llantwit Major on Feb 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ynyshir Albions score 1.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Llantwit Major score 1.2 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ynyshir Albions | 1.5 | 1.4 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Llantwit Major | 1.2 | 2.3 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ynyshir Albions sit 6th in FAW Championship (19 points from 11 matches) and Llantwit Major sit 15th (12 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Ynyshir Albions | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 13 | 19 |
| 15 | Llantwit Major | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 26 | 12 |
A question about Ynyshir Albions vs Llantwit Major?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ynyshir Albions vs Llantwit Major?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ynyshir Albions the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for Llantwit Major.
- Where and when is Ynyshir Albions vs Llantwit Major played?
- Ynyshir Albions vs Llantwit Major is played on November 21, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Ynyshir Oval, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 20, 2026Caerphilly Athleticvsllanelli AFC
- Nov 20, 2026Swansea UniversityvsTrethomas Bluebirds
- Nov 20, 2026Pontypridd TownvsCarmarthen Town
- Nov 20, 2026Caerau (Ely)vsNewport City
- Nov 21, 2026Treowen StarsvsAfan Lido
- Nov 21, 2026Cardiff DraconiansvsAberystwyth Town
- Nov 21, 2026Pontardawe TownvsBaglan Dragons