Where and when is Ynyshir Albions vs Llantwit Major played?

Ynyshir Albions vs Llantwit Major is played on November 21, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Ynyshir Oval, in the FAW Championship.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Ynyshir Albions vs Llantwit Major: prediction and stats

FAW ChampionshipSouth - 15Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Ynyshir Oval, Porth

Ynyshir Albions

Llantwit Major

The Footlab model makes Ynyshir Albions the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Llantwit Major. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Ynyshir Albions vs Llantwit Major?

A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate Ynyshir Albions (1,450) and Llantwit Major (1,485).

Ynyshir Albions win49 %

Draw23 %

Llantwit Major win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ynyshir Albions have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Llantwit Major have 4, 1 and 10.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Ynyshir Albions
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Caerphilly Athletic(away)	1-2	FAW Championship
Aug 7, 2026	Caerau (Ely)(away)	1-1	FAW Championship
Aug 1, 2026	Cardiff Draconians(home)	1-0	FAW Championship
Apr 18, 2026	Aberystwyth Town(home)	0-0	FAW Championship
Apr 4, 2026	Caerau (Ely)(away)	0-2	FAW Championship

Llantwit Major
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Aberystwyth Town(away)	1-5	FAW Championship
Aug 15, 2026	Baglan Dragons(home)	0-1	FAW Championship
Aug 7, 2026	Afan Lido(away)	0-5	FAW Championship
Aug 1, 2026	Swansea University(home)	0-3	FAW Championship
Apr 18, 2026	Cambrian & Clydach(home)	1-3	FAW Championship

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Ynyshir Albions win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Llantwit Major win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 24, 2026	Ynyshir Albions 2-3 Llantwit Major	FAW Championship
Oct 25, 2025	Llantwit Major 2-1 Ynyshir Albions	FAW Championship
Apr 15, 2023	Ynyshir Albions 3-1 Llantwit Major	FAW Championship
Oct 1, 2022	Llantwit Major 4-0 Ynyshir Albions	FAW Championship

Last archived meeting: Ynyshir Albions vs Llantwit Major on Feb 24, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Ynyshir Albions score 1.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Llantwit Major score 1.5 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Ynyshir Albions	1.1	1.4	5	8/15	7/15
Llantwit Major	1.5	2.5	1	10/15	13/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Ynyshir Albions sit 9th in FAW Championship (4 points from 3 matches) and Llantwit Major sit 16th (0 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
9	Ynyshir Albions	3	1	1	1	3	3	4
16	Llantwit Major	4	0	0	4	1	14	0

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Ynyshir Albions vs Llantwit Major?: The Footlab model makes Ynyshir Albions the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Llantwit Major.
Where and when is Ynyshir Albions vs Llantwit Major played?: Ynyshir Albions vs Llantwit Major is played on November 21, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Ynyshir Oval, in the FAW Championship.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.