Match

Bahardar vs Awassa Kenema: prediction and stats

Premier LeagueRegular Season - 33Kick-off on May 26, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Bahir Dar Stadium, Bahir Dar

BahardarAwassa Kenema

The Footlab AI model makes Bahardar the favourite at 36%, against 35% for a draw and 29% for Awassa Kenema. The most likely score is 0-0. If Bahardar wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,443 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Bahardar vs Awassa Kenema?

A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate Bahardar (1,563) and Awassa Kenema (1,528).

36%35%29%
Bahardar winDrawAwassa Kenema win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Bahardar vs Awassa Kenema

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Bahardar

Not enough data to predict the Bahardar lineup.

Awassa Kenema

4-3-3
  1. 9G. Kebede
  2. 11T. Hefamo
  3. 20S. Gacho
  1. 18S. Bekele
  2. 8B. Yared
  3. 18D. Taddese
  1. 2A. Demissie
  2. 12B. Tadele
  3. 6W. Maereg
  4. 4S. Wodessa
  1. 22S. Habtamu

Computed on November 4, 2026 at 08:15 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bahardar have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Awassa Kenema have 2, 7 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Bahardar
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 31, 2026Fasil Ketema(away)2-2Premier League
Oct 22, 2026Welayta Dicha(away)3-1Premier League
Oct 16, 2026Halaba Ketema(away)0-1Premier League
Oct 11, 2026Hadiya Hosaena(away)1-0Premier League
Jul 3, 2026Ethiopia Nigd Bank(away)2-2Premier League
Awassa Kenema
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 1, 2026Gamo Chencha(home)2-1Premier League
Oct 22, 2026Ethiopia Nigd Bank(home)1-1Premier League
Oct 17, 2026Ethiopian Medhin(home)1-1Premier League
Oct 11, 2026Mekelakeya(home)0-1Premier League
Jul 4, 2026Adama Kenema(home)2-3Premier League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Bahardar wins, 3 draws, 1 Awassa Kenema win.

DateScoreCompetition
Jun 21, 2026Awassa Kenema 0-0 BahardarPremier League
Jan 25, 2026Bahardar 0-0 Awassa KenemaPremier League
Jun 16, 2025Bahardar 0-3 Awassa KenemaPremier League
Jan 8, 2025Awassa Kenema 0-1 BahardarPremier League
Jun 27, 2024Awassa Kenema 1-1 BahardarPremier League
Dec 8, 2023Bahardar 2-1 Awassa KenemaPremier League

Last archived meeting: Awassa Kenema vs Bahardar on Jun 21, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Bahardar score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Awassa Kenema score 0.7 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 25% probability of over 2.5 goals and 34% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Bahardar0.90.965/153/15
Awassa Kenema0.71.048/154/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Bahardar sit 6th in Premier League (7 points from 4 matches) and Awassa Kenema sit 10th (5 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Bahardar4211647
10Awassa Kenema4121445

A question about Bahardar vs Awassa Kenema?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Bahardar vs Awassa Kenema?
The Footlab AI model makes Bahardar the favourite at 36%, against 35% for a draw and 29% for Awassa Kenema.
Where and when is Bahardar vs Awassa Kenema played?
Bahardar vs Awassa Kenema is played on May 26, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Bahir Dar Stadium, in the Premier League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 25% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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