Match

Mekelakeya vs Kedus Giorgis: prediction and stats

Premier LeagueMatchday 33Kick-off on May 26, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Addis Ababa Stadium, Addis Abeba

MekelakeyaKedus Giorgis

The Footlab AI model makes Mekelakeya the favourite at 39%, against 35% for a draw and 26% for Kedus Giorgis. The most likely score is 0-0. If Mekelakeya wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 6,292 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Mekelakeya vs Kedus Giorgis?

A very open match: only 41 Elo points separate Mekelakeya (1,590) and Kedus Giorgis (1,549).

39%35%26%
Mekelakeya winDrawKedus Giorgis win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Mekelakeya vs Kedus Giorgis

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Mekelakeya

4-3-3
  1. 27A. Yigzaw
  2. 14Mohammed Abera
  3. 35C. Kudjoe
  1. 7Bereket Desta Dana
  2. 10Abdulkarim Worku
  3. 19C. Gugsa
  1. 6G. Hagos
  2. 34N. Hailu
  3. 2F. Jemal
  4. 22C. Menberu
  1. 1Nafian Legason Alionzi

Kedus Giorgis

Not enough data to predict the Kedus Giorgis lineup.

Computed on November 15, 2026 at 03:12 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mekelakeya have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Kedus Giorgis have 6, 7 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Mekelakeya
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 1, 2026Sidama Bunna(away)0-0Premier League
Oct 27, 2026Ethiopian Medhin(away)3-1Premier League
Oct 22, 2026Gamo Chencha(away)1-0Premier League
Oct 18, 2026Ethiopia Nigd Bank(home)0-1Premier League
Oct 11, 2026Awassa Kenema(away)1-0Premier League
Kedus Giorgis
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 1, 2026Mebrat Hayl(away)1-0Premier League
Oct 26, 2026Sheger Ketema(home)2-2Premier League
Oct 22, 2026Adama Kenema(home)1-1Premier League
Oct 17, 2026Ethiopia Bunna(home)1-2Premier League
Oct 10, 2026Negelle Arsi(home)1-1Premier League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Mekelakeya wins, 3 draws, 1 Kedus Giorgis win.

DateScoreCompetition
Jun 14, 2026Kedus Giorgis 3-0 MekelakeyaPremier League
Jan 22, 2026Mekelakeya 2-0 Kedus GiorgisPremier League
Jun 22, 2025Kedus Giorgis 1-1 MekelakeyaPremier League
Dec 3, 2024Mekelakeya 4-3 Kedus GiorgisPremier League
Apr 6, 2024Mekelakeya 0-0 Kedus GiorgisPremier League
Jan 4, 2024Kedus Giorgis 1-1 MekelakeyaPremier League

Last archived meeting: Kedus Giorgis vs Mekelakeya on Jun 14, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Mekelakeya score 0.9 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Kedus Giorgis score 1.0 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 26% probability of over 2.5 goals and 35% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Mekelakeya0.90.784/154/15
Kedus Giorgis1.00.786/154/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Mekelakeya sit 2nd in Premier League (10 points from 5 matches) and Kedus Giorgis sit 9th (6 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Mekelakeya53115210
9Kedus Giorgis5131666

A question about Mekelakeya vs Kedus Giorgis?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Mekelakeya vs Kedus Giorgis?
The Footlab AI model makes Mekelakeya the favourite at 39%, against 35% for a draw and 26% for Kedus Giorgis.
Where and when is Mekelakeya vs Kedus Giorgis played?
Mekelakeya vs Kedus Giorgis is played on May 26, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Addis Ababa Stadium, in the Premier League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 26% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Mekelakeya and Kedus Giorgis