Fasil Ketema vs Sidama Bunna: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 33Kick-off on May 26, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Fasiledes Stadium, Gondar
The Footlab AI model makes Sidama Bunna the favourite at 42%, against 35% for a draw and 23% for Fasil Ketema. The most likely score is 0-0. If Sidama Bunna wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,621 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fasil Ketema vs Sidama Bunna?
A very open match: only 74 Elo points separate Fasil Ketema (1,513) and Sidama Bunna (1,588).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Fasil Ketema vs Sidama Bunna
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Fasil Ketema
Not enough data to predict the Fasil Ketema lineup.
Sidama Bunna
4-3-3- 2A. Musse
- 21T. Bejrond
- 20B. Nago
- 6Y. Yohannis
- 10F. Tewoldebrhan
- 8R. Nassir
- 14B. Bekele
- 31M. Muzie
- 15D. Demu
- 16Y. Bayeh
- 47Y. Abure
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 05:05 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fasil Ketema have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Sidama Bunna have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Bahardar(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Hadiya Hosaena(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Halaba Ketema(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Welayta Dicha(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Jul 3, 2026 | Ethiopian Medhin(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Mekelakeya(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Al Hilal Omdurman(away) | 0-2 | CAF Champions League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Al Hilal Omdurman(home) | 0-2 | CAF Champions League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Aiglons(home) | 3-0 | CAF Champions League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Fasil Ketema wins, 2 draws, 1 Sidama Bunna win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2026 | Sidama Bunna 1-0 Fasil Ketema | Premier League |
| Oct 29, 2025 | Fasil Ketema 1-0 Sidama Bunna | Premier League |
| Jun 24, 2025 | Fasil Ketema 1-1 Sidama Bunna | Premier League |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Sidama Bunna 0-1 Fasil Ketema | Premier League |
| Mar 17, 2024 | Fasil Ketema 2-2 Sidama Bunna | Premier League |
| Oct 19, 2023 | Sidama Bunna 0-1 Fasil Ketema | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Sidama Bunna vs Fasil Ketema on Mar 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Fasil Ketema score 0.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Sidama Bunna score 0.9 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 24% probability of over 2.5 goals and 32% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fasil Ketema | 0.8 | 1.1 | 5 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Sidama Bunna | 0.9 | 0.8 | 6 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fasil Ketema sit 15th in Premier League (3 points from 4 matches) and Sidama Bunna sit 16th (1 point from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Fasil Ketema | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 16 | Sidama Bunna | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
A question about Fasil Ketema vs Sidama Bunna?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fasil Ketema vs Sidama Bunna?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sidama Bunna the favourite at 42%, against 35% for a draw and 23% for Fasil Ketema.
- Where and when is Fasil Ketema vs Sidama Bunna played?
- Fasil Ketema vs Sidama Bunna is played on May 26, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Fasiledes Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 24% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 26, 2027BahardarvsAwassa Kenema
- May 26, 2027MekelakeyavsKedus Giorgis
- May 26, 2027Welayta DichavsNegelle Arsi
- May 26, 2027Welwalo Adigrat UnivsGamo Chencha
- May 26, 2027Ethiopia Nigd BankvsEthiopia Bunna
- May 26, 2027Hadiya HosaenavsSheger Ketema
- May 26, 2027Ethiopian MedhinvsMebrat Hayl
- May 26, 2027Halaba KetemavsAdama Kenema