Match

Bahardar vs Kedus Giorgis: prediction and stats

Premier LeagueMatchday 12Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Bahir Dar Stadium, Bahir Dar

BahardarKedus Giorgis

The Footlab AI model calls this one tight: 33% for Bahardar, 35% for a draw, 32% for Kedus Giorgis. The most likely score is 0-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,583 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Bahardar vs Kedus Giorgis?

A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate Bahardar (1,563) and Kedus Giorgis (1,547).

33%35%32%
Bahardar winDrawKedus Giorgis win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Bahardar vs Kedus Giorgis

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Bahardar

Not enough data to predict the Bahardar lineup.

Kedus Giorgis

Not enough data to predict the Kedus Giorgis lineup.

Computed on November 13, 2026 at 03:46 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bahardar have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Kedus Giorgis have 6, 7 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Bahardar
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 31, 2026Fasil Ketema(away)2-2Premier League
Oct 22, 2026Welayta Dicha(away)3-1Premier League
Oct 16, 2026Halaba Ketema(away)0-1Premier League
Oct 11, 2026Hadiya Hosaena(away)1-0Premier League
Jul 3, 2026Ethiopia Nigd Bank(away)2-2Premier League
Kedus Giorgis
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 1, 2026Mebrat Hayl(away)1-0Premier League
Oct 26, 2026Sheger Ketema(home)2-2Premier League
Oct 22, 2026Adama Kenema(home)1-1Premier League
Oct 17, 2026Ethiopia Bunna(home)1-2Premier League
Oct 10, 2026Negelle Arsi(home)1-1Premier League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Bahardar wins, 2 draws, 1 Kedus Giorgis win.

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 13, 2026Kedus Giorgis 0-2 BahardarPremier League
Nov 8, 2025Bahardar 1-3 Kedus GiorgisPremier League
Mar 2, 2025Kedus Giorgis 1-4 BahardarPremier League
Dec 9, 2024Bahardar 0-0 Kedus GiorgisPremier League
Apr 12, 2024Bahardar 1-1 Kedus GiorgisPremier League
Dec 2, 2023Kedus Giorgis 1-2 BahardarPremier League

Last archived meeting: Kedus Giorgis vs Bahardar on Mar 13, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Bahardar score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Kedus Giorgis score 1.0 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 26% probability of over 2.5 goals and 35% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Bahardar0.90.965/153/15
Kedus Giorgis1.00.786/154/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Bahardar sit 7th in Premier League (7 points from 4 matches) and Kedus Giorgis sit 9th (6 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Bahardar4211647
9Kedus Giorgis5131666

A question about Bahardar vs Kedus Giorgis?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Bahardar vs Kedus Giorgis?
The Footlab AI model calls this one tight: 33% for Bahardar, 35% for a draw, 32% for Kedus Giorgis.
Where and when is Bahardar vs Kedus Giorgis played?
Bahardar vs Kedus Giorgis is played on December 19, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Bahir Dar Stadium, in the Premier League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 26% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Bahardar and Kedus Giorgis