Bahardar vs Ethiopia Bunna: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 13Kick-off on December 23, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Bahir Dar Stadium, Bahir Dar
The Footlab AI model calls this one tight: 34% for Bahardar, 34% for a draw, 32% for Ethiopia Bunna. The most likely score is 0-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.9% of the 5,158 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bahardar vs Ethiopia Bunna?
A very open match: only 37 Elo points separate Bahardar (1,563) and Ethiopia Bunna (1,526).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Bahardar vs Ethiopia Bunna
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Bahardar
Not enough data to predict the Bahardar lineup.
Ethiopia Bunna
Not enough data to predict the Ethiopia Bunna lineup.
Computed on November 9, 2026 at 09:36 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bahardar have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Ethiopia Bunna have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Fasil Ketema(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Welayta Dicha(away) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Halaba Ketema(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Hadiya Hosaena(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Jul 3, 2026 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Adama Kenema(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Mebrat Hayl(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Negelle Arsi(home) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Kedus Giorgis(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Sheger Ketema(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Bahardar wins, 2 draws, 2 Ethiopia Bunna wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2026 | Ethiopia Bunna 2-0 Bahardar | Premier League |
| Oct 28, 2025 | Bahardar 0-0 Ethiopia Bunna | Premier League |
| Apr 10, 2025 | Bahardar 2-0 Ethiopia Bunna | Premier League |
| Jan 29, 2025 | Ethiopia Bunna 3-1 Bahardar | Premier League |
| Mar 14, 2024 | Bahardar 3-1 Ethiopia Bunna | Premier League |
| Oct 22, 2023 | Ethiopia Bunna 2-2 Bahardar | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Ethiopia Bunna vs Bahardar on Mar 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bahardar score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Ethiopia Bunna score 0.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 27% probability of over 2.5 goals and 36% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bahardar | 0.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
| Ethiopia Bunna | 0.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bahardar sit 7th in Premier League (7 points from 4 matches) and Ethiopia Bunna sit 14th (4 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Bahardar | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 7 |
| 14 | Ethiopia Bunna | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 4 |
A question about Bahardar vs Ethiopia Bunna?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bahardar vs Ethiopia Bunna?
- The Footlab AI model calls this one tight: 34% for Bahardar, 34% for a draw, 32% for Ethiopia Bunna.
- Where and when is Bahardar vs Ethiopia Bunna played?
- Bahardar vs Ethiopia Bunna is played on December 23, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Bahir Dar Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 27% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 23, 2026Fasil KetemavsKedus Giorgis
- Dec 23, 2026MekelakeyavsSheger Ketema
- Dec 23, 2026Welayta DichavsAwassa Kenema
- Dec 23, 2026Welwalo Adigrat UnivsMebrat Hayl
- Dec 23, 2026Ethiopia Nigd BankvsNegelle Arsi
- Dec 23, 2026Hadiya HosaenavsSidama Bunna
- Dec 23, 2026Ethiopian MedhinvsAdama Kenema
- Dec 23, 2026Halaba KetemavsGamo Chencha