Match

Mekelakeya vs Adama Kenema: prediction and stats

Premier LeagueRegular Season - 12Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Addis Ababa Stadium, Addis Abeba

MekelakeyaAdama Kenema

The Footlab AI model makes Mekelakeya the favourite at 44%, against 33% for a draw and 23% for Adama Kenema. The most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 3,046 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 23, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Mekelakeya vs Adama Kenema?

A very open match: only 73 Elo points separate Mekelakeya (1,574) and Adama Kenema (1,501).

44%33%23%
Mekelakeya winDrawAdama Kenema win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Mekelakeya vs Adama Kenema

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Mekelakeya

4-3-3
  1. 27A. Yigzaw
  2. 14Mohammed Abera
  3. 35C. Kudjoe
  1. 7Bereket Desta Dana
  2. 10Abdulkarim Worku
  3. 19C. Gugsa
  1. 6G. Hagos
  2. 34N. Hailu
  3. 2F. Jemal
  4. 22C. Menberu
  1. 1Nafian Legason Alionzi

Adama Kenema

4-3-3
  1. 18Abubeker Sani
  2. 15A. Elias
  3. 12D. Hotessa
  1. 16A. Sisay
  2. 25W. Gadissa
  3. 9N. Nuri
  1. 29Mujib Kassim Hamza
  2. 6M. Abdulkarim
  3. 21S. Yohannes
  4. 15M. Awol
  1. 1A. Markos

Computed on October 23, 2026 at 09:34 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mekelakeya have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Adama Kenema have 4, 6 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Mekelakeya
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 22, 2026Gamo Chencha(away)1-0Premier League
Oct 18, 2026Ethiopia Nigd Bank(home)0-1Premier League
Oct 11, 2026Awassa Kenema(away)1-0Premier League
Jul 4, 2026Hadiya Hosaena(home)0-0Premier League
Jun 28, 2026Sheger Ketema(away)0-2Premier League
Adama Kenema
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 22, 2026Kedus Giorgis(away)1-1Premier League
Oct 16, 2026Sheger Ketema(home)0-0Premier League
Oct 9, 2026Mebrat Hayl(away)1-0Premier League
Jul 4, 2026Awassa Kenema(away)3-2Premier League
Jun 27, 2026Welayta Dicha(home)0-2Premier League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Mekelakeya wins, 1 draw, 0 Adama Kenema wins.

DateScoreCompetition
May 4, 2026Mekelakeya 0-0 Adama KenemaPremier League
Dec 26, 2025Adama Kenema 1-3 MekelakeyaPremier League
Apr 21, 2025Adama Kenema 0-2 MekelakeyaPremier League
Nov 4, 2024Mekelakeya 2-0 Adama KenemaPremier League
Jun 30, 2024Adama Kenema 0-3 MekelakeyaPremier League
Dec 8, 2023Mekelakeya 2-1 Adama KenemaPremier League

Last archived meeting: Mekelakeya vs Adama Kenema on May 4, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Mekelakeya score 0.7 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Adama Kenema score 0.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 27% probability of over 2.5 goals and 34% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Mekelakeya0.70.793/153/15
Adama Kenema0.90.965/154/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Mekelakeya sit 3rd in Premier League (6 points from 3 matches) and Adama Kenema sit 6th (5 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Mekelakeya3201216
6Adama Kenema3120215

A question about Mekelakeya vs Adama Kenema?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Mekelakeya vs Adama Kenema?
The Footlab AI model makes Mekelakeya the favourite at 44%, against 33% for a draw and 23% for Adama Kenema.
Where and when is Mekelakeya vs Adama Kenema played?
Mekelakeya vs Adama Kenema is played on December 19, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Addis Ababa Stadium, in the Premier League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 27% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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