Match

Bahardar vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni: prediction and stats

Premier LeagueRegular Season - 4Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Bahir Dar Stadium, Bahir Dar

BahardarWelwalo Adigrat Uni

The Footlab AI model calls this one tight: 28% for Bahardar, 38% for a draw, 34% for Welwalo Adigrat Uni. The most likely score is 0-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.9% of the 1,758 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Bahardar vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni?

A very open match: only 49 Elo points separate Bahardar (1,561) and Welwalo Adigrat Uni (1,512).

28%38%34%
Bahardar winDrawWelwalo Adigrat Uni win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Bahardar vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Bahardar

Not enough data to predict the Bahardar lineup.

Welwalo Adigrat Uni

4-3-3
  1. 14S. Haftey
  2. 18D. Gebru
  3. 9H. Konkoni
  1. 10F. Solomon
  2. 2N. Gebremedhin
  3. 20M. Mesfin
  1. 16K. Wondimu
  2. 23E. Hailemariam
  3. 27B. Beyene
  4. 24S. Berhe
  1. 30J. Mutakubwa

Computed on October 8, 2026 at 06:05 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bahardar have 4 wins, 8 draws and 3 defeats; Welwalo Adigrat Uni have 5, 7 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Bahardar
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jul 3, 2026Ethiopia Nigd Bank(away)2-2Premier League
Jun 28, 2026Sidama Bunna(home)0-1Premier League
Jun 21, 2026Awassa Kenema(away)0-0Premier League
Jun 16, 2026Welayta Dicha(home)0-2Premier League
May 30, 2026Mekelle Kenema(away)0-0Premier League
Welwalo Adigrat Uni
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Sep 12, 2026Al Hilal Port Sudan(home)2-1CAF Confederation Cup
Sep 4, 2026Al Hilal Port Sudan(away)1-2CAF Confederation Cup
Jul 3, 2026Kedus Giorgis(home)1-1Premier League
Jun 26, 2026Arba Minch Kenema(away)1-0Premier League
Jun 22, 2026Hadiya Hosaena(home)0-1Premier League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Bahardar wins, 3 draws, 0 Welwalo Adigrat Uni wins.

DateScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Bahardar 0-0 Welwalo Adigrat UniPremier League
Dec 29, 2025Welwalo Adigrat Uni 0-0 BahardarPremier League
Jun 25, 2025Bahardar 3-0 Welwalo Adigrat UniPremier League
Sep 21, 2024Welwalo Adigrat Uni 0-1 BahardarPremier League
Jan 18, 2020Bahardar 3-2 Welwalo Adigrat UniPremier League
May 26, 2019Bahardar 0-0 Welwalo Adigrat UniPremier League

Last archived meeting: Bahardar vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni on May 10, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Bahardar score 0.9 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Welwalo Adigrat Uni score 1.0 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 20% probability of over 2.5 goals and 29% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Bahardar0.90.775/152/15
Welwalo Adigrat Uni1.00.777/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Bahardar sit 3rd in Premier League (54 points from 34 matches) and Welwalo Adigrat Uni sit 18th (19 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Bahardar3415910402454
18Welwalo Adigrat Uni3421319214619

A question about Bahardar vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Bahardar vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni?
The Footlab AI model calls this one tight: 28% for Bahardar, 38% for a draw, 34% for Welwalo Adigrat Uni.
Where and when is Bahardar vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni played?
Bahardar vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni is played on October 24, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Bahir Dar Stadium, in the Premier League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 20% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Bahardar and Welwalo Adigrat Uni

Ready to know everything about football?