Sidama Bunna vs Awassa Kenema: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 4Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Yirgalem Stadium, Yirgalem
The Footlab AI model makes Sidama Bunna the favourite at 44%, against 35% for a draw and 21% for Awassa Kenema. The most likely score is 0-0. If Sidama Bunna wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.9% of the 1,758 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sidama Bunna vs Awassa Kenema?
A very open match: only 79 Elo points separate Sidama Bunna (1,629) and Awassa Kenema (1,550).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sidama Bunna vs Awassa Kenema
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sidama Bunna
4-3-3- 2A. Musse
- 21T. Bejrond
- 20B. Nago
- 6Y. Yohannis
- 10F. Tewoldebrhan
- 8R. Nassir
- 14B. Bekele
- 31M. Muzie
- 15D. Demu
- 16Y. Bayeh
- 47Y. Abure
Awassa Kenema
4-3-3- 9G. Kebede
- 11T. Hefamo
- 20S. Gacho
- 18S. Bekele
- 8B. Yared
- 18D. Taddese
- 2A. Demissie
- 12B. Tadele
- 6W. Maereg
- 4S. Wodessa
- 22S. Habtamu
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 02:31 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sidama Bunna have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Awassa Kenema have 1, 7 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | Aiglons(home) | 3-0 | CAF Champions League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Aiglons(away) | 0-0 | CAF Champions League |
| Jul 4, 2026 | Mebrat Hayl(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Bahardar(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Negelle Arsi(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 4, 2026 | Adama Kenema(home) | 2-3 | Premier League |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Mebrat Hayl(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Bahardar(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Jun 15, 2026 | Negelle Arsi(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| May 28, 2026 | Ethiopia Bunna(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Sidama Bunna wins, 2 draws, 2 Awassa Kenema wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Awassa Kenema 1-2 Sidama Bunna | Premier League |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Sidama Bunna 1-0 Awassa Kenema | Premier League |
| May 3, 2025 | Awassa Kenema 1-1 Sidama Bunna | Premier League |
| Sep 23, 2024 | Sidama Bunna 0-1 Awassa Kenema | Premier League |
| May 11, 2024 | Awassa Kenema 1-1 Sidama Bunna | Premier League |
| Nov 2, 2023 | Sidama Bunna 0-1 Awassa Kenema | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Awassa Kenema vs Sidama Bunna on Feb 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sidama Bunna score 1.1 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Awassa Kenema score 0.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 23% probability of over 2.5 goals and 31% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sidama Bunna | 1.1 | 0.6 | 7 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
| Awassa Kenema | 0.7 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sidama Bunna sit 5th in Premier League (49 points from 34 matches) and Awassa Kenema sit 4th (53 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Awassa Kenema | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 40 | 31 | 53 |
| 5 | Sidama Bunna | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 27 | 28 | 49 |
A question about Sidama Bunna vs Awassa Kenema?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sidama Bunna vs Awassa Kenema?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sidama Bunna the favourite at 44%, against 35% for a draw and 21% for Awassa Kenema.
- Where and when is Sidama Bunna vs Awassa Kenema played?
- Sidama Bunna vs Awassa Kenema is played on October 24, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Yirgalem Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 23% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Oct 24, 2026Ethiopia BunnavsMebrat Hayl
- Oct 24, 2026Kedus GiorgisvsSheger Ketema
- Oct 24, 2026Welayta DichavsHalaba Ketema
- Oct 24, 2026Hadiya HosaenavsFasil Ketema
- Oct 24, 2026Ethiopian MedhinvsMekelakeya
- Oct 24, 2026Negelle ArsivsAdama Kenema
- Oct 24, 2026Gamo ChenchavsEthiopia Nigd Bank