Bahia vs Botafogo: result 1-0 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 7Kick-off on May 4, 2025 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador, Bahia
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What was the result of Bahia vs Botafogo?
Bahia won 1-0 on May 4, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 40′CaulyBahia
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bahia have 9 wins, 5 draws and 1 defeats; Botafogo have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2025 | Paysandu(away) | 1-0 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Palmeiras(away) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Apr 25, 2025 | Atletico Nacional(home) | 1-0 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Apr 21, 2025 | Ceara(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Apr 18, 2025 | Cruzeiro(away) | 0-3 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 30, 2025 | Capital Brasilia(home) | 4-0 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Fluminense(home) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Apr 24, 2025 | Estudiantes L.P.(away) | 0-1 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Apr 20, 2025 | Atletico-MG(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Apr 16, 2025 | Sao Paulo(home) | 2-2 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Bahia win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Botafogo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2024 | Bahia 0-0 Botafogo | Serie A |
| Aug 7, 2024 | Bahia 1-0 Botafogo | Copa Do Brasil |
| Jul 31, 2024 | Botafogo 1-1 Bahia | Copa Do Brasil |
| May 5, 2024 | Botafogo 1-2 Bahia | Serie A |
| Aug 27, 2023 | Botafogo 3-0 Bahia | Serie A |
| Apr 24, 2023 | Bahia 1-2 Botafogo | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Bahia score 1.3 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Botafogo score 1.1 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bahia | 1.3 | 0.8 | 7 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
| Botafogo | 1.1 | 0.9 | 5 | 3/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bahia sit 6th in Serie A (34 points from 23 matches) and Botafogo sit 11th (30 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Bahia | 23 | 8 | 10 | 5 | 32 | 28 | 34 |
| 11 | Botafogo | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 35 | 34 | 30 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy