Gremio vs Santos: result 1-0 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 7Kick-off on May 4, 2025 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Arena do Grêmio, Porto Alegre, Rio Grande do Sul
Full time
What was the result of Gremio vs Santos?
Gremio won 1-0 on May 4, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 78′C. OliveraGremio
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gremio have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Santos have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2025 | CSA(away) | 2-3 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Vitoria(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Apr 24, 2025 | Godoy Cruz(away) | 2-2 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Apr 20, 2025 | Internacional(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Apr 16, 2025 | Mirassol(away) | 1-4 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2025 | CRB(home) | 1-1 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Apr 27, 2025 | RB Bragantino(home) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Apr 20, 2025 | Sao Paulo(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Apr 17, 2025 | Atletico-MG(home) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Fluminense(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Gremio win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Santos win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2023 | Santos 2-1 Gremio | Serie A |
| Apr 16, 2023 | Gremio 1-0 Santos | Serie A |
| Oct 10, 2021 | Santos 1-0 Gremio | Serie A |
| Jun 25, 2021 | Gremio 2-2 Santos | Serie A |
| Feb 3, 2021 | Gremio 3-3 Santos | Serie A |
| Dec 16, 2020 | Santos 4-1 Gremio | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
How many goals should we expect?
Gremio score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Santos score 1.5 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gremio | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| Santos | 1.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gremio sit 15th in Serie A (25 points from 22 matches) and Santos sit 14th (25 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Santos | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 32 | 35 | 25 |
| 15 | Gremio | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 24 | 30 | 25 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy