Bahia vs Ceara: result 1-0 and analysis
Copa do NordesteSemi-finalsKick-off on August 21, 2025 at 12:30 AM (UTC)Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador, Bahia
Full time
What was the result of Bahia vs Ceara?
Bahia won 1-0 on August 21, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 90′TiagoBahia
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bahia have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Ceara have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2025 | Corinthians(away) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Aug 10, 2025 | Fluminense(home) | 3-3 | Serie A |
| Aug 6, 2025 | Retrô(away) | 0-0 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Aug 2, 2025 | Sport Recife(away) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Jul 30, 2025 | Retrô(home) | 3-2 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2025 | RB Bragantino(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Aug 10, 2025 | Palmeiras(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Aug 3, 2025 | Flamengo(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Jul 27, 2025 | Cruzeiro(away) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Jul 23, 2025 | Mirassol(home) | 0-2 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Bahia win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Ceara win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2025 | Bahia 1-0 Ceara | Serie A |
| Mar 26, 2025 | Bahia 3-2 Ceara | Copa do Nordeste |
| Mar 7, 2024 | Ceara 1-2 Bahia | Copa do Nordeste |
| Oct 27, 2021 | Bahia 1-1 Ceara | Serie A |
| Jun 17, 2021 | Ceara 1-2 Bahia | Serie A |
| May 8, 2021 | Ceara 1-2 Bahia | Copa do Nordeste |
How many goals should we expect?
Bahia score 1.6 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Ceara score 0.8 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bahia | 1.6 | 1.0 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Ceara | 0.8 | 1.1 | 5 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Ceara | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 10 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy