Bahia vs Fluminense: result 1-0 and analysis
Copa Do BrasilQuarter-finalsKick-off on August 28, 2025 at 10:30 PM (UTC)Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador, Bahia
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What was the result of Bahia vs Fluminense?
Bahia won 1-0 on August 28, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 86′Luciano JubaBahia
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bahia have 9 wins, 5 draws and 1 defeats; Fluminense have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2025 | Santos(home) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Aug 21, 2025 | Ceara(home) | 1-0 | Copa do Nordeste |
| Aug 17, 2025 | Corinthians(away) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Aug 10, 2025 | Fluminense(home) | 3-3 | Serie A |
| Aug 6, 2025 | Retrô(away) | 0-0 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2025 | RB Bragantino(away) | 2-4 | Serie A |
| Aug 20, 2025 | America de Cali(home) | 2-0 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Fortaleza EC(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Aug 13, 2025 | America de Cali(away) | 2-1 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Aug 10, 2025 | Bahia(away) | 3-3 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Bahia win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Fluminense win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 10, 2025 | Bahia 3-3 Fluminense | Serie A |
| Aug 4, 2024 | Fluminense 1-0 Bahia | Serie A |
| Apr 17, 2024 | Bahia 2-1 Fluminense | Serie A |
| Oct 31, 2023 | Bahia 1-0 Fluminense | Serie A |
| Jun 24, 2023 | Fluminense 2-1 Bahia | Serie A |
| Dec 5, 2021 | Bahia 2-0 Fluminense | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Bahia score 1.7 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Fluminense score 1.4 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bahia | 1.7 | 0.8 | 7 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Fluminense | 1.4 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy