Bahia vs Fluminense: result 1-2 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 38Kick-off on December 8, 2013 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador, Bahia
Full time
What was the result of Bahia vs Fluminense?
Fluminense won 1-2 on December 8, 2013.
Goalscorers
- 43′William BarbioBahia
- 56′Wagner Ferreira dos SantosFluminense
- 83′SamuelFluminense
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bahia have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Fluminense have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2013 | Cruzeiro(away) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Nov 24, 2013 | Portuguesa(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Nov 17, 2013 | Nautico Recife(away) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Nov 14, 2013 | Santos(away) | 0-3 | Serie A |
| Nov 3, 2013 | Gremio(away) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2013 | Atletico-MG(home) | 2-2 | Serie A |
| Nov 30, 2013 | Goias(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Nov 24, 2013 | Santos(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Nov 17, 2013 | Sao Paulo(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Nov 14, 2013 | Nautico Recife(home) | 2-0 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Bahia win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Fluminense win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 7, 2013 | Fluminense 1-0 Bahia | Serie A |
| Oct 10, 2012 | Bahia 0-2 Fluminense | Serie A |
| Jul 20, 2012 | Fluminense 4-0 Bahia | Serie A |
| Sep 18, 2011 | Bahia 3-0 Fluminense | Serie A |
| Jun 18, 2011 | Fluminense 0-1 Bahia | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Bahia score 0.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Fluminense score 1.1 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bahia | 0.9 | 1.0 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Fluminense | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bahia sit 6th in Serie A (37 points from 24 matches) and Fluminense sit 4th (41 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Fluminense | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 36 | 29 | 41 |
| 6 | Bahia | 24 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 34 | 28 | 37 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy