Bahia vs Fluminense: result 0-2 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 29Kick-off on October 10, 2012 at 10:30 PM (UTC)Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador, Bahia
Full time
What was the result of Bahia vs Fluminense?
Fluminense won 0-2 on October 10, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 59′BrunoFluminense
- 75′Rafael Augusto Sóbis do NascimentoFluminense
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bahia have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Fluminense have 11, 3 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2012 | Flamengo(away) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 30, 2012 | Botafogo(home) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 23, 2012 | Internacional(away) | 1-3 | Serie A |
| Sep 16, 2012 | Figueirense(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 12, 2012 | Sport Recife(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2012 | Botafogo(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 30, 2012 | Flamengo(away) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 22, 2012 | Nautico Recife(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 15, 2012 | Atletico Goianiense(home) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 12, 2012 | Portuguesa(away) | 2-0 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Bahia win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Fluminense win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 20, 2012 | Fluminense 4-0 Bahia | Serie A |
| Sep 18, 2011 | Bahia 3-0 Fluminense | Serie A |
| Jun 18, 2011 | Fluminense 0-1 Bahia | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Bahia score 1.2 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Fluminense score 1.5 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bahia | 1.2 | 0.8 | 7 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Fluminense | 1.5 | 0.7 | 7 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bahia sit 6th in Serie A (37 points from 24 matches) and Fluminense sit 4th (41 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Fluminense | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 36 | 29 | 41 |
| 6 | Bahia | 24 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 34 | 28 | 37 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy