Bahia vs Gremio: result 0-1 and analysis
Copa Do BrasilQuarter-finalsKick-off on July 17, 2019 at 10:15 PM (UTC)Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador, Bahia
Full time
What was the result of Bahia vs Gremio?
Gremio won 0-1 on July 17, 2019.
Goalscorers
- 64′AlissonGremio
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bahia have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Gremio have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 13, 2019 | Santos(home) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Jul 10, 2019 | Gremio(away) | 1-1 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Jun 13, 2019 | Internacional(away) | 1-3 | Serie A |
| Jun 8, 2019 | Ceara(away) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Jun 1, 2019 | Gremio(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 13, 2019 | Vasco DA Gama(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Jul 10, 2019 | Bahia(home) | 1-1 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Jun 12, 2019 | Botafogo(away) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Jun 8, 2019 | Fortaleza EC(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Jun 1, 2019 | Bahia(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Bahia win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Gremio win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 10, 2019 | Gremio 1-1 Bahia | Copa Do Brasil |
| Jun 1, 2019 | Bahia 1-0 Gremio | Serie A |
| Oct 7, 2018 | Gremio 2-2 Bahia | Serie A |
| Jun 3, 2018 | Bahia 0-2 Gremio | Serie A |
| Sep 24, 2017 | Bahia 1-0 Gremio | Serie A |
| Jun 12, 2017 | Gremio 1-0 Bahia | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Bahia score 1.3 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Gremio score 1.3 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bahia | 1.3 | 1.0 | 7 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Gremio | 1.3 | 0.9 | 8 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy