Bahia vs Gremio: result 1-0 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 25Kick-off on September 24, 2017 at 10:00 PM (UTC)Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador, Bahia
Full time
What was the result of Bahia vs Gremio?
Bahia won 1-0 on September 24, 2017.
Goalscorers
- 90′Rodrigo Gomes dos SantosBahia (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bahia have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Gremio have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 17, 2017 | Cruzeiro(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 11, 2017 | Atletico Goianiense(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Aug 27, 2017 | Botafogo(home) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Aug 20, 2017 | Vasco DA Gama(home) | 3-0 | Serie A |
| Aug 13, 2017 | Atletico Paranaense(away) | 1-4 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 17, 2017 | Chapecoense-sc(home) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 9, 2017 | Vasco DA Gama(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 2, 2017 | Sport Recife(home) | 5-0 | Serie A |
| Aug 24, 2017 | Cruzeiro(away) | 0-2 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Aug 20, 2017 | Atletico Paranaense(home) | 0-0 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Bahia win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Gremio win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 12, 2017 | Gremio 1-0 Bahia | Serie A |
| Nov 30, 2014 | Bahia 1-0 Gremio | Serie A |
| Aug 31, 2014 | Gremio 1-0 Bahia | Serie A |
| Nov 3, 2013 | Gremio 0-0 Bahia | Serie A |
| Aug 11, 2013 | Bahia 0-3 Gremio | Serie A |
| Oct 27, 2012 | Bahia 1-1 Gremio | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Bahia score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Gremio score 1.4 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bahia | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Gremio | 1.4 | 0.7 | 6 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bahia sit 6th in Serie A (37 points from 24 matches) and Gremio sit 15th (25 points from 23 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Bahia | 24 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 34 | 28 | 37 |
| 15 | Gremio | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 24 | 31 | 25 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy