Bahia vs Parana: result 1-0 and analysis
Serie BRegular Season - 4Kick-off on May 30, 2015 at 12:50 AM (UTC)Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador, Bahia
Full time
What was the result of Bahia vs Parana?
Bahia won 1-0 on May 30, 2015.
Goalscorers
- 20′TitiBahia
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bahia have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Parana have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2015 | CRB(away) | 3-0 | Serie B |
| May 15, 2015 | Mogi Mirim(home) | 4-1 | Serie B |
| May 9, 2015 | America Mineiro(away) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Dec 7, 2014 | Coritiba(away) | 2-3 | Serie A |
| Nov 30, 2014 | Gremio(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2015 | BOA(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| May 15, 2015 | Santa Cruz(away) | 1-4 | Serie B |
| May 9, 2015 | Ceara(home) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Nov 29, 2014 | America-RN(home) | 4-1 | Serie B |
| Nov 21, 2014 | RB Bragantino(away) | 1-1 | Serie B |
How many goals should we expect?
Bahia score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Parana score 1.3 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bahia | 1.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Parana | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy