Bahia vs Sao Paulo: result 2-1 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 11Kick-off on May 31, 2025 at 09:30 PM (UTC)Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador, Bahia
Full time
What was the result of Bahia vs Sao Paulo?
Bahia won 2-1 on May 31, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 53′Willian JoséBahia
- 73′Willian JoséBahia (pen.)
- 85′LucianoSao Paulo (pen.)
Official lineup for Bahia vs Sao Paulo
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Bahia
4-3-3- 16Erick Pulga
- 12Willian José
- 7Ademir
- 6Jean Lucas
- 19Caio Alexandre
- 10Éverton Ribeiro
- 46Luciano Juba
- 21S. Ramos
- 33David Duarte
- 2Gilberto
- 22Marcos Felipe
Sao Paulo
4-2-3-1- 49Ryan Francisco
- 13E. Díaz
- 10Luciano
- 48Lucas Ferreira
- 29Pablo Maia
- 21D. Bobadilla
- 18Wendell
- 35Sabino
- 5R. Arboleda
- 6Cédric Soares
- 23Rafael
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bahia have 8 wins, 1 draw and 6 defeats; Sao Paulo have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 28, 2025 | Internacional(away) | 1-2 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| May 25, 2025 | Gremio(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| May 21, 2025 | Paysandu(home) | 4-0 | Copa Do Brasil |
| May 18, 2025 | Vitoria(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| May 14, 2025 | Atletico Nacional(away) | 0-1 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 27, 2025 | Talleres Cordoba(home) | 2-1 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| May 24, 2025 | Mirassol(home) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| May 21, 2025 | Nautico Recife(away) | 2-1 | Copa Do Brasil |
| May 18, 2025 | Gremio(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| May 15, 2025 | Libertad Asuncion(home) | 1-1 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Bahia win, 1 draw, 4 Sao Paulo wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2024 | Bahia 0-3 Sao Paulo | Serie A |
| Jun 30, 2024 | Sao Paulo 3-1 Bahia | Serie A |
| Nov 29, 2023 | Bahia 0-1 Sao Paulo | Serie A |
| Jul 30, 2023 | Sao Paulo 0-0 Bahia | Serie A |
| Nov 7, 2021 | Bahia 1-0 Sao Paulo | Serie A |
| Jul 10, 2021 | Sao Paulo 1-0 Bahia | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Bahia score 1.0 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Sao Paulo score 1.4 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bahia | 1.0 | 0.9 | 7 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
| Sao Paulo | 1.4 | 1.0 | 3 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bahia sit 6th in Serie A (53 points from 34 matches) and Sao Paulo sit 10th (44 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Bahia | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 50 | 45 | 53 |
| 10 | Sao Paulo | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 39 | 39 | 44 |
A question about Bahia vs Sao Paulo?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy