Bahia vs Sport Recife: result 2-1 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 5Kick-off on June 17, 2012 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador, Bahia
Full time
What was the result of Bahia vs Sport Recife?
Bahia won 2-1 on June 17, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 15′Elias Constantino Pereira FilhoBahia
- 70′Bruno AguiarSport Recife
- 86′Leandro Fahel MatosBahia
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bahia have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Sport Recife have 1, 2 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 10, 2012 | Vasco DA Gama(home) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Jun 6, 2012 | Atletico-MG(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| May 27, 2012 | Sao Paulo(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| May 20, 2012 | Santos(home) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Dec 4, 2011 | Ceara(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 10, 2012 | Cruzeiro(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Jun 6, 2012 | Palmeiras(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| May 27, 2012 | Santos(away) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| May 19, 2012 | Flamengo(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Bahia score 0.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Sport Recife score 0.8 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bahia | 0.9 | 1.2 | 4 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Sport Recife | 0.8 | 0.8 | 1 | 2/4 | 1/4 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Bahia | 24 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 34 | 28 | 37 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy