Match

Sport Recife vs Goias: prediction and stats

Serie BMatchday 38Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 07:30 PM (UTC)Itaipava Arena Pernambuco, Recife, Pernambuco

Sport RecifeGoias

The Footlab AI model makes Sport Recife the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Goias. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sport Recife wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 5,926 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Sport Recife vs Goias?

A very open match: only 33 Elo points separate Sport Recife (1,703) and Goias (1,736).

41%28%31%
Sport Recife winDrawGoias win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Sport Recife vs Goias

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Sport Recife

4-2-3-1
  1. 9Perotti
  1. 30Chrystian Barletta
  2. 7Patrick de Paula
  3. 20D. Hernández
  4. 29Willian Oliveira
  5. 6Biel
  1. 27Claudinho
  2. 76Raí
  3. 5Marcelo Benevenuto
  4. 28Habraão
  1. 26Thiago Couto

Goias

4-2-3-1
  1. 11Felipe Clemente
  1. 5Filipe Machado
  2. 10Lucas Lima
  3. 97Lourenço
  4. 40Kadu
  5. 35Luquinhas
  1. 54Djalma Silva
  2. 14Lucas Ribeiro
  3. 6Nicolas
  4. 3Luiz Felipe
  1. 23Tadeu

Computed on November 14, 2026 at 05:33 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sport Recife have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Goias have 8, 2 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Sport Recife
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 6, 2026Operario-PR(away)2-3Serie B
Oct 31, 2026Botafogo SP(away)1-1Serie B
Oct 24, 2026Criciuma(home)2-1Serie B
Oct 16, 2026Fortaleza EC(home)0-2Serie B
Oct 11, 2026Atletico Goianiense(away)1-1Serie B
Goias
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026Ponte Preta(home)1-0Serie B
Nov 2, 2026CRB(home)2-1Serie B
Oct 27, 2026Ceara(away)2-0Serie B
Oct 19, 2026Nautico Recife(home)0-0Serie B
Oct 11, 2026Operario-PR(away)2-0Serie B

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Sport Recife win, 2 draws, 3 Goias wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Jul 22, 2026Goias 1-1 Sport RecifeSerie B
Sep 19, 2024Sport Recife 1-1 GoiasSerie B
Jun 1, 2024Goias 3-0 Sport RecifeSerie B
Dec 26, 2020Goias 1-0 Sport RecifeSerie A
Sep 6, 2020Sport Recife 2-1 GoiasSerie A
Sep 10, 2015Goias 1-0 Sport RecifeSerie A

Last archived meeting: Goias vs Sport Recife on Jul 22, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Sport Recife score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Goias score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Sport Recife1.51.5212/1511/15
Goias1.10.946/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Sport Recife sit 10th in Serie B (55 points from 37 matches) and Goias sit 7th (58 points from 37 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Goias3717713394158
10Sport Recife37141310504255

A question about Sport Recife vs Goias?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Sport Recife vs Goias?
The Footlab AI model makes Sport Recife the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Goias.
Where and when is Sport Recife vs Goias played?
Sport Recife vs Goias is played on November 14, 2026 at 07:30 PM (UTC) at Itaipava Arena Pernambuco, in the Serie B.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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