Sport Recife vs Goias: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 38Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Itaipava Arena Pernambuco, Recife, Pernambuco
The Footlab model makes Sport Recife the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Goias. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sport Recife vs Goias?
A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate Sport Recife (1,882) and Goias (1,862).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sport Recife have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Goias have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | America Mineiro(home) | 3-0 | Serie B |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Avai(away) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Londrina(home) | 2-1 | Serie B |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Vila Nova(away) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Cuiaba(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Cuiaba(away) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Juventude(home) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Criciuma(away) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Londrina(home) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Jul 26, 2026 | America Mineiro(away) | 0-1 | Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Sport Recife win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Goias win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 22, 2026 | Goias 1-1 Sport Recife | Serie B |
| Sep 19, 2024 | Sport Recife 1-1 Goias | Serie B |
| Jun 1, 2024 | Goias 3-0 Sport Recife | Serie B |
| Dec 26, 2020 | Goias 1-0 Sport Recife | Serie A |
| Sep 6, 2020 | Sport Recife 2-1 Goias | Serie A |
| Sep 10, 2015 | Goias 1-0 Sport Recife | Serie A |
Last archived meeting: Goias vs Sport Recife on Jul 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sport Recife score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Goias score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sport Recife | 1.3 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Goias | 0.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sport Recife sit 6th in Serie B (38 points from 24 matches) and Goias sit 10th (33 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Sport Recife | 24 | 9 | 11 | 4 | 32 | 22 | 38 |
| 10 | Goias | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 23 | 29 | 33 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sport Recife vs Goias?
- The Footlab model makes Sport Recife the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Goias.
- Where and when is Sport Recife vs Goias played?
- Sport Recife vs Goias is played on November 14, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Itaipava Arena Pernambuco, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.