Bahia vs Vitoria: result 2-1 and analysis
Copa do NordesteGroup Stage - 6Kick-off on March 21, 2024 at 12:30 AM (UTC)Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador, Bahia
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What was the result of Bahia vs Vitoria?
Bahia won 2-1 on March 21, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 9′AlerrandroVitoria
- 35′Jean LucasBahia
- 45′KanuBahia
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bahia have 12 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats; Vitoria have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2024 | Jequié(home) | 4-1 | Baiano - 1 |
| Mar 13, 2024 | Caxias(away) | 2-2 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Mar 9, 2024 | Jequié(away) | 1-0 | Baiano - 1 |
| Mar 7, 2024 | Ceara(away) | 2-1 | Copa do Nordeste |
| Mar 3, 2024 | Jacuipense(home) | 2-0 | Baiano - 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2024 | Barcelona BA(home) | 4-1 | Baiano - 1 |
| Mar 10, 2024 | Barcelona BA(away) | 2-0 | Baiano - 1 |
| Mar 6, 2024 | AO Itabaiana(home) | 3-1 | Copa do Nordeste |
| Mar 3, 2024 | Itabuna(away) | 2-0 | Baiano - 1 |
| Feb 25, 2024 | Atlético Alagoinhas(home) | 3-0 | Baiano - 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Bahia win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Vitoria win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2024 | Vitoria 3-2 Bahia | Baiano - 1 |
| Mar 5, 2023 | Bahia 1-1 Vitoria | Copa do Nordeste |
| Jan 29, 2023 | Bahia 1-0 Vitoria | Baiano - 1 |
| Feb 2, 2022 | Vitoria 1-1 Bahia | Baiano - 1 |
| Mar 17, 2021 | Bahia 0-0 Vitoria | Baiano - 1 |
| Mar 13, 2021 | Vitoria 1-0 Bahia | Copa do Nordeste |
How many goals should we expect?
Bahia score 2.3 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Vitoria score 1.7 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bahia | 2.3 | 0.7 | 8 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Vitoria | 1.7 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vitoria | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 8 | 10 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy