FC Lok Stendal vs Lichtenberg: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Nordost-NordNOFV-Nord - 4Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadion am Hölzchen, Stendal
The Footlab model makes Lichtenberg the favourite at 59%, against 19% for a draw and 22% for FC Lok Stendal. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Lok Stendal vs Lichtenberg?
Lichtenberg is a heavy favourite: 1,888 Elo points against 1,565 — a 323-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Lok Stendal have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Lichtenberg have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Anker Wismar(home) | 2-3 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Tennis Borussia(away) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Jul 25, 2026 | MSV Neuruppin(home) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Lüneburger SK Hansa(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 30, 2026 | Krieschow(home) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Union Klosterfelde(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Neustrelitz(home) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Dresden II(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 8, 2026 | Hertha BSC(home) | 0-9 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 30, 2026 | Tennis Borussia(home) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
How many goals should we expect?
FC Lok Stendal score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Lichtenberg score 1.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 76% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Lok Stendal | 1.3 | 1.7 | 5 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Lichtenberg | 1.5 | 1.9 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Lok Stendal sit 12th in Oberliga - Nordost-Nord (1 points from 2 matches) and Lichtenberg sit 8th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Lichtenberg | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 12 | FC Lok Stendal | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Lok Stendal vs Lichtenberg?
- The Footlab model makes Lichtenberg the favourite at 59%, against 19% for a draw and 22% for FC Lok Stendal.
- Where and when is FC Lok Stendal vs Lichtenberg played?
- FC Lok Stendal vs Lichtenberg is played on September 13, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion am Hölzchen, in the Oberliga - Nordost-Nord.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 76% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 13, 2026BAK '07vsMecklenburg Schwerin
- Sep 13, 2026Eintracht MahlsdorfvsSparta Lichtenberg
- Sep 13, 2026Hertha ZehlendorfvsSiedenbollentin
- Sep 13, 2026NeustrelitzvsReinickendorfer Fuchse
- Sep 13, 2026Tennis BorussiavsAnker Wismar
- Sep 13, 2026MakkabivsHansa Rostock II
- Sep 13, 2026Union KlosterfeldevsOptik Rathenow