Eintracht Mahlsdorf vs Sparta Lichtenberg: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Nordost-NordNOFV-Nord - 4Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Sportanlage Am Rosenhag, Berlin
The Footlab model makes Eintracht Mahlsdorf the favourite at 48%, against 22% for a draw and 30% for Sparta Lichtenberg. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Eintracht Mahlsdorf vs Sparta Lichtenberg?
A very open match: only 46 Elo points separate Eintracht Mahlsdorf (1,783) and Sparta Lichtenberg (1,737).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Eintracht Mahlsdorf have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Sparta Lichtenberg have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Optik Rathenow(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Siedenbollentin(away) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Jul 14, 2026 | Luckenwalde(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 30, 2026 | Tasmania Berlin(home) | 0-5 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| May 16, 2026 | Anker Wismar(away) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Mecklenburg Schwerin(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Reinickendorfer Fuchse(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Krieschow(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 30, 2026 | Siedenbollentin(away) | 3-4 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| May 17, 2026 | Neustrelitz(home) | 4-2 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Eintracht Mahlsdorf win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Sparta Lichtenberg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | Sparta Lichtenberg 2-2 Eintracht Mahlsdorf | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Aug 3, 2025 | Eintracht Mahlsdorf 0-2 Sparta Lichtenberg | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Apr 6, 2025 | Eintracht Mahlsdorf 3-2 Sparta Lichtenberg | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Oct 6, 2024 | Sparta Lichtenberg 3-2 Eintracht Mahlsdorf | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Mar 3, 2024 | Sparta Lichtenberg 2-1 Eintracht Mahlsdorf | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Aug 27, 2023 | Eintracht Mahlsdorf 1-1 Sparta Lichtenberg | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
Last archived meeting: Sparta Lichtenberg vs Eintracht Mahlsdorf on Dec 6, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Eintracht Mahlsdorf score 1.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Sparta Lichtenberg score 2.3 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eintracht Mahlsdorf | 1.1 | 1.6 | 4 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Sparta Lichtenberg | 2.3 | 2.1 | 0 | 14/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Eintracht Mahlsdorf sit 9th in Oberliga - Nordost-Nord (3 points from 2 matches) and Sparta Lichtenberg sit 10th (2 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Eintracht Mahlsdorf | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 10 | Sparta Lichtenberg | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Eintracht Mahlsdorf vs Sparta Lichtenberg?
- The Footlab model makes Eintracht Mahlsdorf the favourite at 48%, against 22% for a draw and 30% for Sparta Lichtenberg.
- Where and when is Eintracht Mahlsdorf vs Sparta Lichtenberg played?
- Eintracht Mahlsdorf vs Sparta Lichtenberg is played on September 13, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Sportanlage Am Rosenhag, in the Oberliga - Nordost-Nord.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.