Bala Town vs Newtown AFC: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipNorth - 6Kick-off on August 31, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Maes Tegid, Bala, Gwynedd
The Footlab model makes Bala Town the favourite at 55%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for Newtown AFC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bala Town vs Newtown AFC?
A very open match: only 95 Elo points separate Bala Town (1,744) and Newtown AFC (1,649).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bala Town have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Newtown AFC have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Gresford Athletic(home) | 3-0 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Ruthin Town(home) | 2-1 | FAW Championship |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Bangor 1876(away) | 2-1 | FAW Championship |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Colwyn Bay(home) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Briton Ferry(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Guilsfield(home) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Penrhyncoch(home) | 5-0 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Gresford Athletic(away) | 3-0 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Ruthin Town(away) | 3-2 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Llandudno(home) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Bala Town win(s), 4 draw(s), 0 Newtown AFC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 10, 2025 | Newtown AFC 1-1 Bala Town | League Cup |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Newtown AFC 0-0 Bala Town | Premier League |
| Sep 20, 2024 | Bala Town 2-2 Newtown AFC | Premier League |
| Apr 5, 2024 | Bala Town 1-1 Newtown AFC | Premier League |
| Feb 24, 2024 | Newtown AFC 1-5 Bala Town | Premier League |
| Dec 30, 2023 | Bala Town 2-1 Newtown AFC | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Newtown AFC vs Bala Town on Sep 10, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Bala Town score 1.7 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Newtown AFC score 1.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bala Town | 1.7 | 1.4 | 5 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Newtown AFC | 1.7 | 1.6 | 5 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bala Town sit 4th in FAW Championship (9 points from 3 matches) and Newtown AFC sit 5th (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Bala Town | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| 5 | Newtown AFC | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bala Town vs Newtown AFC?
- The Footlab model makes Bala Town the favourite at 55%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for Newtown AFC.
- Where and when is Bala Town vs Newtown AFC played?
- Bala Town vs Newtown AFC is played on August 31, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Maes Tegid, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.