Guilsfield vs Penrhyncoch: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipNorth - 6Kick-off on August 31, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Guilsfield Community Centre Ground, Guilsfield / Cegidfa, Powys
The Footlab model makes Guilsfield the favourite at 65%, against 20% for a draw and 16% for Penrhyncoch. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Guilsfield vs Penrhyncoch?
Guilsfield starts as the favourite with a 113-point Elo edge (1,651 vs 1,538).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Guilsfield have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Penrhyncoch have 7, 0 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ruthin Town(home) | 2-2 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Newtown AFC(away) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Mold Alexandra(home) | 3-2 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Rhyl(away) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Gresford Athletic(home) | 4-0 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Brickfield Rangers(away) | 0-2 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Newtown AFC(away) | 0-5 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Porthmadog(home) | 1-3 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Rhyl(home) | 3-0 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Gresford Athletic(home) | 4-1 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Guilsfield win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Penrhyncoch win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2025 | Guilsfield 0-1 Penrhyncoch | FAW Championship |
| Sep 12, 2025 | Penrhyncoch 2-3 Guilsfield | FAW Championship |
| Dec 28, 2024 | Guilsfield 4-2 Penrhyncoch | FAW Championship |
| Dec 14, 2024 | Penrhyncoch 1-1 Guilsfield | FAW Championship |
| Jul 20, 2024 | Penrhyncoch 0-3 Guilsfield | League Cup |
| Jan 18, 2023 | Penrhyncoch 1-2 Guilsfield | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Guilsfield vs Penrhyncoch on Dec 27, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Guilsfield score 1.6 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Penrhyncoch score 1.5 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guilsfield | 1.6 | 1.7 | 1 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Penrhyncoch | 1.5 | 1.8 | 3 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Guilsfield sit 7th in FAW Championship (6 points from 4 matches) and Penrhyncoch sit 15th (0 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Guilsfield | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 6 |
| 15 | Penrhyncoch | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Guilsfield vs Penrhyncoch?
- The Footlab model makes Guilsfield the favourite at 65%, against 20% for a draw and 16% for Penrhyncoch.
- Where and when is Guilsfield vs Penrhyncoch played?
- Guilsfield vs Penrhyncoch is played on August 31, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Guilsfield Community Centre Ground, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.