Caersws vs Buckley Town: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipNorth - 6Kick-off on August 31, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)The Recreation Ground, Caersws, Powys
The Footlab model makes Caersws the favourite at 71%, against 17% for a draw and 12% for Buckley Town. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Caersws vs Buckley Town?
Caersws starts as the favourite with a 113-point Elo edge (1,582 vs 1,470).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Caersws have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Buckley Town have 1, 1 and 13.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rhyl(away) | 2-4 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gresford Athletic(home) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Mold Alexandra(away) | 2-2 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Denbigh Town(home) | 6-0 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 13, 2026 | Buckley Town(home) | 3-2 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Mold Alexandra(away) | 0-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Porthmadog(home) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Llanuwchllyn(away) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Denbigh Town(home) | 2-4 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Holyhead Hotspur(away) | 1-5 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Caersws win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Buckley Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2026 | Caersws 3-2 Buckley Town | FAW Championship |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Buckley Town 4-3 Caersws | FAW Championship |
| Mar 25, 2025 | Buckley Town 2-4 Caersws | FAW Championship |
| Oct 12, 2024 | Caersws 3-0 Buckley Town | FAW Championship |
| Jan 27, 2024 | Buckley Town 2-1 Caersws | FAW Championship |
| Dec 16, 2023 | Caersws 2-2 Buckley Town | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Caersws vs Buckley Town on Apr 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Caersws score 1.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Buckley Town score 0.8 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caersws | 1.7 | 1.6 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Buckley Town | 0.8 | 2.7 | 1 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Caersws sit 10th in FAW Championship (4 points from 3 matches) and Buckley Town sit 14th (1 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Caersws | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 4 |
| 14 | Buckley Town | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Caersws vs Buckley Town?
- The Footlab model makes Caersws the favourite at 71%, against 17% for a draw and 12% for Buckley Town.
- Where and when is Caersws vs Buckley Town played?
- Caersws vs Buckley Town is played on August 31, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at The Recreation Ground, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.